Name: Oscars: Best Actor
Start: 2024-01-17T23:41:00Z
End: 2024-03-10T00:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

This is a market group on the 96th Academy Awards, nicknamed "The Oscars"

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.


The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if someone else other than Cillian Murphy, Paul Giamatti, Colman Domingo, Jeffrey Wright, Andrew Scott, Leonardo DiCaprio, Bradley Cooper, and Nicolas Cage wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "Yes".  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cillian Murphy wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Paul Giamatti wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.


The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Colman Domingo wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Colman Domingo - Rustin

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeffrey Wright wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Scott wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Andrew Scott - All of Us Strangers

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Leonardo DiCaprio wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Leonardo DiCaprio - KoFM

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bradley Cooper wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.


The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Bradley Cooper - Maestro

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Scientists (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2024 the 96th Academy Awards are set to be given out in a ceremony scheduled for March 10.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolas Cage wins the Academy Award for Best Actor in a Leading Role. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If this film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2024 nominees are announced, this market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the film which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g. https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Nicolas Cage - Dream Scenario

Oscars: Best Actor

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Actor. 

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提摩西·查拉梅會在第98屆奧斯卡金像獎獲得最佳男主角嗎？

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Achievement in Casting. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Achievement in Casting when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. 

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Stellan Skarsgård 會在第98屆奧斯卡金像獎中贏得最佳男配角獎嗎？

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

《連場激戰》會贏得第98屆奧斯卡最佳影片獎嗎？

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Sound. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Score when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Actress. 

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

潔西・巴克利會在第98屆奧斯卡金像獎獲得最佳女主角嗎？

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Cinematography. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Cinematography when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

《罪人》會在第98屆奧斯卡金像獎獲得最佳攝影嗎？

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. "One Battle After Another" has been nominated for 13 Oscars.

This market will resolve according to the number of Oscars won by the film "One Battle After Another" or by people for their roles in that film at the 98th Academy Awards.

If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 4 awards at the Oscars?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best International Feature Film. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best International Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Production Design. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Production Design when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

科學怪人會在第98屆奧斯卡金像獎贏得最佳藝術指導獎嗎？

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jane Austen's Period Drama win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Original Score. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Makeup and Hairstyling. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Makeup and Hairstyling when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

科學怪人會在第98屆奧斯卡金像獎獲得最佳化妝與髮型設計獎嗎？

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed director who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Director. 

If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated director whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

保羅·湯瑪斯·安德森會在第98屆奧斯卡金像獎獲得最佳導演獎嗎？

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Film Editing. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Film Editing when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

《一場接一場的戰鬥》會在第98屆奧斯卡金像獎上贏得最佳剪輯獎嗎？

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

《一戰接一戰》會在第98屆奧斯卡金像獎贏得最佳改編劇本獎嗎？

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

《罪人》會在第98屆奧斯卡金像獎獲得最佳原創劇本獎嗎？

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. 

If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Teyana Taylor 會在第98屆奧斯卡金像獎獲得最佳女配角嗎？

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Costume Design. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Costume Design when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

科學怪人會在第98屆奧斯卡金像獎獲得最佳服裝設計獎嗎？

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. "Sinners" has been nominated for 16 Oscars.

This market will resolve according to the number of Oscars won by the film "Sinners" or by people for their roles in that film at the 98th Academy Awards.

If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Original Song. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Song when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Short Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film. 

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET,  this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will All the Empty Rooms win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. "Marty Supreme" has been nominated for 9 Oscars.

This market will resolve according to the number of Oscars won by the film "Marty Supreme" or by people for their roles in that film at the 98th Academy Awards.

If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. "Hamnet" has been nominated for 8 Oscars.

This market will resolve according to the number of Oscars won by the film "Hamnet" or by people for their roles in that film at the 98th Academy Awards.

If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. "Sentimental Value" has been nominated for 9 Oscars.

This market will resolve according to the number of Oscars won by the film "Sentimental Value" or by people for their roles in that film at the 98th Academy Awards.

If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?

The Academy Awards are given every year by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to a variety of films and film industry workers for outstanding displays of artistic and technical merit. In 2026, the 98th Academy Awards are scheduled to take place on March 15, 2026. "Frankenstein" has been nominated for 9 Oscars.

This market will resolve according to the number of Oscars won by the film "Frankenstein" or by people for their roles in that film at the 98th Academy Awards.

If for any reason no winners are declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actor whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提摩西·夏勒梅會在2026年美國演員工會獎奪得最佳男主角表現獎嗎？

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this amrket will resolve in favor of the listed film whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

《一場接一場的戰鬥》會在2026年美國演員工會獎贏得最佳電影卡司嗎？

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

「Sinners」會在第32屆演員工會獎贏得最佳電影卡司演出獎嗎？

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actor whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

貝尼西奧·德托羅會在2026年美國演員工會獎（SAG Awards）中贏得最佳電影男配角嗎？

The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed person that wins the Leading Actor category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the BAFTA Awards and the official BAFTA website (https://www.bafta.org/awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提摩西·夏勒梅會在2026年英國電影學院獎（BAFTA）贏得最佳男主角嗎？

The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed person that wins the Supporting Actor category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the BAFTA Awards and the official BAFTA website (https://www.bafta.org/awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

保羅·梅斯卡會在2026年英國電影學院獎（BAFTA）贏得最佳男配角嗎？

The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the BAFTA Awards and the official BAFTA website (https://www.bafta.org/awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

《哈姆尼特》會在2026年英國電影學院獎獲得最佳影片獎嗎？

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a in a Television Movie or Limited Series, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is announced by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actor whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

歐文·庫珀會在2026年SAG獎獲得電視電影或限定影集最佳男主角獎嗎？

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Drama Series, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actor whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

諾亞·懷爾會在2026年SAG獎獲得最佳劇情類影集男主角獎嗎？

The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Casting category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the BAFTA Awards and the official BAFTA website (https://www.bafta.org/awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

「至尊馬蒂」會在2026年英國電影學院獎獲得最佳選角獎嗎？

The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Sound category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the BAFTA Awards and the official BAFTA website (https://www.bafta.org/awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

「罪人」會在2026年英國電影學院獎獲得最佳音效獎嗎？

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actress whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

潔西·巴克利會在2026年演員工會獎贏得電影類最佳女主角嗎？

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed series wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Drama Series, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed series whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

《The Pitt》會在2026年美國演員工會獎獲得戲劇類最佳整體演出嗎？

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Comedy Series, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actor whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

賽斯·羅根會在2026年美國演員工會獎奪得最佳喜劇類男主角嗎？

The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Cinematography category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the BAFTA Awards and the official BAFTA website (https://www.bafta.org/awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

《Sinners》會在2026年英國電影學院獎贏得最佳攝影獎嗎？

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actress whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Teyana Taylor 會在 2026 年 SAG 大獎中獲得最佳電影女配角嗎？

The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Original Score category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the BAFTA Awards and the official BAFTA website (https://www.bafta.org/awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

《罪人》會在2026年英國電影學院獎獲得最佳原創配樂獎嗎？

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed series wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by an Ensemble in a Comedy Series, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the series whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

工作室會在2026年演員公會獎贏得最佳喜劇影集整體演出獎嗎？

The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the BAFTA Awards and the official BAFTA website (https://www.bafta.org/awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

《Hamnet》會在2026年英國電影學院獎（BAFTA）獲得傑出英國電影獎嗎？

The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Special Visual Effects category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the BAFTA Awards and the official BAFTA website (https://www.bafta.org/awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Oscars: Best Actor

Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer
$108,524 交易量
Yes

Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers
$52,277 交易量
No

Colman Domingo - Rustin
$25,086 交易量
No

Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction
$22,550 交易量
No

Andrew Scott - All of Us Strangers
$1,149 交易量
No

Leonardo DiCaprio - KoFM
$7,646 交易量
No

Bradley Cooper - Maestro
$48,021 交易量
No

Nicolas Cage - Dream Scenario
$4,824 交易量
No

Other
$75,140 交易量
No

市場背景

Oscars: Best Actor

規則

Oscars: Best Actor

市場背景

Oscars: Best Actor

關於

Oscars: Best Actor

Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer$108,524 交易量Yes

Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers$52,277 交易量No

Colman Domingo - Rustin$25,086 交易量No

Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction$22,550 交易量No

Andrew Scott - All of Us Strangers$1,149 交易量No

Leonardo DiCaprio - KoFM$7,646 交易量No

Bradley Cooper - Maestro$48,021 交易量No

Nicolas Cage - Dream Scenario$4,824 交易量No

Other$75,140 交易量No

市場背景

Oscars: Best Actor

規則

Oscars: Best Actor

市場背景

Oscars: Best Actor

關於

Cillian Murphy - Oppenheimer
$108,524 交易量
Yes

Paul Giamatti - The Holdovers
$52,277 交易量
No

Colman Domingo - Rustin
$25,086 交易量
No

Jeffrey Wright - American Fiction
$22,550 交易量
No

Andrew Scott - All of Us Strangers
$1,149 交易量
No

Leonardo DiCaprio - KoFM
$7,646 交易量
No

Bradley Cooper - Maestro
$48,021 交易量
No

Nicolas Cage - Dream Scenario
$4,824 交易量
No

Other
$75,140 交易量
No