2026年美聯儲將降息多少次？
3次（75個基點） 27%
2（50個基點） 23%
4（100個基點） 16%
1（25個基點） 13%
$3,262,034 交易量
$3,262,034 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
0（0個基點）
$516,650 交易量
7%
0（0個基點）
$516,650 交易量
7%
1（25個基點）
$290,539 交易量
13%
1（25個基點）
$290,539 交易量
13%
2（50個基點）
$300,814 交易量
23%
2（50個基點）
$300,814 交易量
23%
3次（75個基點）
$204,776 交易量
27%
3次（75個基點）
$204,776 交易量
27%
4（100個基點）
$174,244 交易量
16%
4（100個基點）
$174,244 交易量
16%
5（125個基點）
$201,146 交易量
7%
5（125個基點）
$201,146 交易量
7%
6次（150個基點）
$216,658 交易量
4%
6次（150個基點）
$216,658 交易量
4%
7次（175個基點）
$173,927 交易量
2%
7次（175個基點）
$173,927 交易量
2%
8（200個基點）
$269,070 交易量
1%
8（200個基點）
$269,070 交易量
1%
9次（225個基點）
$208,958 交易量
1%
9次（225個基點）
$208,958 交易量
1%
10（250個基點）
$222,988 交易量
1%
10（250個基點）
$222,988 交易量
1%
11 次（275 基點）
$232,599 交易量
<1%
11 次（275 基點）
$232,599 交易量
<1%
12次以上（300個基點以上）
$249,665 交易量
2%
12次以上（300個基點以上）
$249,665 交易量
2%
規則
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
建立於： Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$3,262,034結束日期
Dec 31, 2026建立於
Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...2026年美聯儲將降息多少次？
3次（75個基點） 27%
2（50個基點） 23%
4（100個基點） 16%
1（25個基點） 13%
$3,262,034 交易量
$3,262,034 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
0（0個基點）
$516,650 交易量
7%
1（25個基點）
$290,539 交易量
13%
2（50個基點）
$300,814 交易量
23%
3次（75個基點）
$204,776 交易量
27%
4（100個基點）
$174,244 交易量
16%
5（125個基點）
$201,146 交易量
7%
6次（150個基點）
$216,658 交易量
4%
7次（175個基點）
$173,927 交易量
2%
8（200個基點）
$269,070 交易量
1%
9次（225個基點）
$208,958 交易量
1%
10（250個基點）
$222,988 交易量
1%
11 次（275 基點）
$232,599 交易量
<1%
12次以上（300個基點以上）
$249,665 交易量
2%
關於
交易量
$3,262,034結束日期
Dec 31, 2026建立於
Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...注意外部連結。
注意外部連結。
注意外部連結。
注意外部連結。