2026年美聯儲將降息多少次？
3次（75個基點） 27%
2（50個基點） 23%
4（100個基點） 16%
1（25個基點） 14%
$3,257,156 交易量
$3,257,156 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
0（0個基點）
$515,026 交易量
7%
0（0個基點）
$515,026 交易量
7%
1（25個基點）
$290,402 交易量
14%
1（25個基點）
$290,402 交易量
14%
2（50個基點）
$300,753 交易量
23%
2（50個基點）
$300,753 交易量
23%
3次（75個基點）
$204,748 交易量
27%
3次（75個基點）
$204,748 交易量
27%
4（100個基點）
$174,124 交易量
16%
4（100個基點）
$174,124 交易量
16%
5（125個基點）
$199,050 交易量
7%
5（125個基點）
$199,050 交易量
7%
6次（150個基點）
$216,639 交易量
4%
6次（150個基點）
$216,639 交易量
4%
7次（175個基點）
$173,893 交易量
2%
7次（175個基點）
$173,893 交易量
2%
8（200個基點）
$269,051 交易量
1%
8（200個基點）
$269,051 交易量
1%
9次（225個基點）
$208,282 交易量
1%
9次（225個基點）
$208,282 交易量
1%
10（250個基點）
$222,969 交易量
1%
10（250個基點）
$222,969 交易量
1%
11 次（275 基點）
$232,599 交易量
<1%
11 次（275 基點）
$232,599 交易量
<1%
12次以上（300個基點以上）
$249,620 交易量
2%
12次以上（300個基點以上）
$249,620 交易量
2%
規則
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
建立於： Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$3,257,156結束日期
Dec 31, 2026建立於
Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...2026年美聯儲將降息多少次？
3次（75個基點） 27%
2（50個基點） 23%
4（100個基點） 16%
1（25個基點） 14%
$3,257,156 交易量
$3,257,156 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
0（0個基點）
$515,026 交易量
7%
1（25個基點）
$290,402 交易量
14%
2（50個基點）
$300,753 交易量
23%
3次（75個基點）
$204,748 交易量
27%
4（100個基點）
$174,124 交易量
16%
5（125個基點）
$199,050 交易量
7%
6次（150個基點）
$216,639 交易量
4%
7次（175個基點）
$173,893 交易量
2%
8（200個基點）
$269,051 交易量
1%
9次（225個基點）
$208,282 交易量
1%
10（250個基點）
$222,969 交易量
1%
11 次（275 基點）
$232,599 交易量
<1%
12次以上（300個基點以上）
$249,620 交易量
2%
關於
交易量
$3,257,156結束日期
Dec 31, 2026建立於
Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...注意外部連結。
注意外部連結。
注意外部連結。
注意外部連結。