Name: 'Dune: Part Two' Total Domestic Box Office
Start: 2024-02-29T23:54:00Z
End: 2024-05-15T00:00:00Z

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The market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses less than $200,000,000 domestically through May 15, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is Box Office Mojo. Specifically the "To Date" tab on (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/) will be used, summing up all daily gross amounts through May 15 (inclusive).

Note, only finalized gross amounts will be used - estimates will not be used. 

If the data is not available on the resolution source by May 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, then another credible source will be chosen and checked.



<$200m

The market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses between $250,000,000 (inclusive) and 300,000,000 (inclusive) domestically through May 15, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is Box Office Mojo. Specifically the "To Date" tab on (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/) will be used, summing up all daily gross amounts through May 15 (inclusive).

Note, only finalized gross amounts will be used - estimates will not be used. 

If the data is not available on the resolution source by May 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, then another credible source will be chosen and checked.



$250m-300m

The market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses between $200,000,000 (inclusive) and 250,000,000 (exclusive) domestically through May 15, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is Box Office Mojo. Specifically the "To Date" tab on (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/) will be used, summing up all daily gross amounts through May 15 (inclusive).

Note, only finalized gross amounts will be used - estimates will not be used. 

If the data is not available on the resolution source by May 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, then another credible source will be chosen and checked.



$200m-250m

The market will resolve to "Yes" if ‘Dune: Part Two' (2024) grosses more than $300,000,000 domestically through May 15, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is Box Office Mojo. Specifically the "To Date" tab on (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt15239678/) will be used, summing up all daily gross amounts through May 15 (inclusive).

Note, only finalized gross amounts will be used - estimates will not be used. 

If the data is not available on the resolution source by May 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, then another credible source will be chosen and checked.



>$300m

'Dune: Part Two' Total Domestic Box Office

Avengers: Doomsday and Dune 3 are scheduled for release on December 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the film which grosses more domestically during their opening weekend in theaters. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on these movies' The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) pages will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - December 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If both movies report the same gross for the 3-day opening weekend, this market will resolve in favor of the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order. 

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

If the release date for one movie changes, this market will resolve to the movie which grosses more in its opening weekend once opening weekend figures for both movies are finalized. 

If the release of either movie is delayed beyond February 28, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.

《沙丘3》或《復仇者聯盟：世界末日》哪一部在首映週末的票房更高？

This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest domestic gross between opening and March 31, 2026 according to "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page.

In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.

If there is no final data available by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

《Minecraft電影》會成為2025年3月15日國內票房最高的電影嗎？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Greenland 2: Migration" grosses $25,000,000 or more domestically from opening through January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates from opening until January 31 (January 9 - January 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Total Gross in the Daily Box Office section for the specified timeframe, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

格陵蘭2：遷徙到1月31日能否在國內票房達到2,500萬美元或以上？

This market will resolve according to how much "Avatar: Fire and Ash" box office will gross domestically by January 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (December 19, 2025) and January 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including January 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 390m by January 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Anaconda" grosses $70,000,000 or more domestically from opening through January 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates from opening until January 31 (December 25 - January 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Total Gross in the Daily Box Office section for the specified timeframe, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

到1月31日，Anaconda在國內票房能否達到7000萬或以上？

到1月31日，《阿凡達：火與灰》的國內總票房會低於4億美元嗎？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Marty Supreme" grosses $70,000,000 or more domestically from opening through January 31. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates from opening until January 31 (December 25 - January 31) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Total Gross in the Daily Box Office section for the specified timeframe, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.

If there is no final data available by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

到1月31日，Marty Supreme在國內的票房會達到7千萬或以上嗎？

This market will resolve according to DoorDash’s announced total orders for Q4 2025.

If DoorDash does not publish Q4 2025 total order figures by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be DoorDash investor relations earnings materials (https://ir.doordash.com/financials/quarterly-results/).

DoorDash 在 2025 年第 4 季總訂單數會達到 9 億或以上嗎？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series.

If Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

新的《怪奇物語》劇集會在12月31日前推出嗎？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fourth installment in James Cameron's Avatar series is explicitly announced to be in production or preparing to enter production by March 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify for a "Yes" resolution, the film must be explicitly acknowledged by James Cameron, Lightstorm Entertainment, its distributor/studio (e.g., 20th Century Studios), or that distributor/studio's parent company (e.g., Disney) to be a sequel to "Avatar: Fire and Ash", and have a similar sequential relationship to the one between "Avatar: The Way of Water" and "Avatar: Fire and Ash". An announcement of a new qualifying film before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced film becomes available to the public. 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from James Cameron, Lightstorm Entertainment, a qualifying film's distributor (e.g., 20th Century Studios) or parent company (e.g., Disney), or a consensus of credible sources.

《阿凡達4》會在3月31日前獲准開拍嗎？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rotten Tomatoes “All Critics” Tomatometer score for Melania (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on February 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to “No” if no data is available by February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

'Dune: Part Two' Total Domestic Box Office

<$200m
$6,827 交易量
No

$200m-250m
$36,013 交易量
No

$250m-300m
$54,280 交易量
Yes

>$300m
$170,860 交易量
No

市場背景

'Dune: Part Two' Total Domestic Box Office

規則

'Dune: Part Two' Total Domestic Box Office

市場背景

'Dune: Part Two' Total Domestic Box Office

關於

'Dune: Part Two' Total Domestic Box Office

<$200m$6,827 交易量No

$200m-250m$36,013 交易量No

$250m-300m$54,280 交易量Yes

>$300m$170,860 交易量No

市場背景

'Dune: Part Two' Total Domestic Box Office

規則

'Dune: Part Two' Total Domestic Box Office

市場背景

'Dune: Part Two' Total Domestic Box Office

關於

<$200m
$6,827 交易量
No

$200m-250m
$36,013 交易量
No

$250m-300m
$54,280 交易量
Yes

>$300m
$170,860 交易量
No