Name: What will Trump say during NBC interview?
Start: 2024-12-05T22:47:29.868277Z
End: 2024-12-08T12:00:00Z

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This is a market group over what Donald Trump will say during his interview hosted by NBC News, scheduled to be aired on December 8 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Ukraine" 3 or more times during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Ukraine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the country in Eastern Europe. 

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Ukraine 3+ times

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "China" 3 or more times during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "China" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the East Asian country formally titled the People's Republic of China. 

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

China 3+ times

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Elon" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Elon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to billionaire CEO Elon Musk.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Elon

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts).

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Crypto/Bitcoin

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "day one" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Day One

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tax" 3 or more times during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "tax" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a compulsory contribution to state revenue, levied by the government on workers' income and business profits, or added to the cost of some goods, services, and transactions.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Tax 3+ times

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tariff" 3 or more times during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "tariff" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a tax or duty to be paid on a particular class of imports or exports.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Tariff 3+ times

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 5 or more times during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Border 5+ times

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Taiwan" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Taiwan" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the East Asian country officially named Republic of China.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Taiwan

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "nuclear" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "nuclear" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to energy released during nuclear fusion or fission, or technology that relates to that process.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Nuclear

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "pardon" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "pardon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to releasing an offender from the legal consequences of an offense or conviction, and often implicitly from blame.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Pardon

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Hunter" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Hunter" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to son of President Joe Biden, Hunter Biden.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Hunter

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "fake news" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Fake News

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Tesla" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Tesla" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Tesla, Inc., an American multinational automotive and clean energy company.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Tesla

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Mexico" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Mexico" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the country in North America.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Mexico

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "doge" or "DOGE" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "doge" or "DOGE" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to either the Department of Governmental Efficiency, or to the Dogecoin cryptocurrency.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

DOGE

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Pete" or "Hegseth" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Pete" or "Hegseth" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to American television presenter, author, and former Army National Guard officer Pete Hegseth.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Pete Hegseth

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Matt" or "Gaetz" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Matt" or "Gaetz" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to American politician Matt Gaetz.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Matt Gaetz

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Kamala" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to US Vice President Kamala Harris.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Kamala

NBC News is scheduled to air an interview with Donald Trump on Sunday, December 8, 2024 (see https://www.axios.com/2024/12/04/trump-interview-nbc-news-meet-the-press).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Israel" during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Israel" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the country in the Middle East.

This market may only resolve to "No" if the interview has finished airing in its entirety and the Yes condition wasn't met. If the interview has not aired in its entirety by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no interview is aired by this time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the interview.

Israel

What will Trump say during NBC interview?

An interview of Donald Trump by Joe Kernen is scheduled to air on January 21, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/CNBC/status/2012167755407999076

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this interview is definitively cancelled by Donald Trump or CNBC, or otherwise is not released by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point.

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?

An interview of Donald Trump by Katie Pavlich on "Katie Pavlich Tonight" is scheduled to air on January 20, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/NewsNation/status/2012890752905363662

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this interview is definitively cancelled by Donald Trump or NewsNation, or otherwise is not released by January 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point.

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is interviewed by Tucker Carlson between November 17, 2025 and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An interview is defined as a scheduled, recorded conversation where Donald Trump answers questions posed by Tucker Carlson. Press conferences or media briefings held by the White House with Carlson in attendance will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a credible consensus of reporting that Donald Trump has recorded an interview with Tucker Carlson before February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, even if that interview is not yet released.

The resolution source for this market will be publicly available video footage of the interview; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

塔克·卡尔森会在2月28日之前采访特朗普吗？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

特朗普会在2027年前支持任何总统候选人吗？

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

唐纳德·特朗普将在2026年访问爱荷华州吗？

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.


特朗普会在3月31日前与德尔西·罗德里格斯会面吗？

Will Trump say "Minnesota" during the State of the Union address?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

问题：特朗普会在4月30日之前访问中国吗？

Donald Trump is set to deliver remarks in Iowa on on January 27, 2026 (see: https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the event on January 27, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly about the speech in Iowa (https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2026/01/21/donald-trump-iowa-for-speech-economy/88280760007/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Greenland" during Iowa speech?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Jerome Powell by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

到2026年1月31日之前，特朗普会与杰罗姆·鲍威尔会面吗？

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

JD Vance 会赢得 2028 年的美国总统大选吗？

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

问题：特朗普会在美东时间2026年11月2日的加州州长选举中支持史蒂夫·希尔顿吗？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

特朗普会在2027年之前支持JD万斯竞选总统吗？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Reza Pahlavi by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

特朗普会在1月31日前与礼萨·巴列维会面吗？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

问题：特朗普会在2026年12月31日前辞职吗？

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

问题：民主党会在2028年美国总统大选中获胜吗？

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

到3月31日，特朗普会访问格陵兰吗？

On August 15, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin met in person at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson near Anchorage, Alaska, for a summit focused on potential peace terms in Ukraine. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Donald Trump on a separate occasion from the August 15, 2025 meeting by the listed date (ET).  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Encounters that are part of, or a continuation of, the August 15 meeting will not qualify, even if they occur on a different day (e.g. August 16).

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

特朗普会在2026年3月31日之前会见普京吗？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

特朗普会在2026年支持玛丽亚·科琳娜·马查多竞选委内瑞拉总统吗？

The UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett event is scheduled for January 24, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends UFC 324. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled or postponed beyond January 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

特朗普会参加UFC 324吗？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement within this market’s timeframe from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. 

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made before the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.

唐纳德·特朗普会在2026年6月30日之前宣布新的联邦储备主席提名人选吗？

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

问题：特朗普会在2026年底前被弹劾吗？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Too Big To Rig" this week? (January 25)

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

特朗普和普京不会见面吗？

This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) on which the Trump administration announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve.

An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for Chair of the Federal Reserve will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. 

Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. 

A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, made on a listed date, will also resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

If no qualifying announcement is made by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No announcement by Jan 31”.

The resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration and official information from the U.S. Senate.

唐纳德·特朗普会在2026年2月之前不宣布新的美联储主席提名人选吗？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

特朗普会在2027年前赦免斯蒂芬·布罗迪吗？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What will Trump say during NBC interview?

Crypto/Bitcoin
$239,787 交易量
No

Pete Hegseth
$267,220 交易量
Yes

Ukraine 3+ times
$35,509 交易量
Yes

China 3+ times
$15,030 交易量
Yes

Tax 3+ times
$7,393 交易量
Yes

Tariff 3+ times
$12,206 交易量
Yes

Border 5+ times
$12,649 交易量
Yes

Taiwan
$6,623 交易量
No

Pardon
$10,717 交易量
Yes

Hunter
$22,683 交易量
Yes

Elon
$20,368 交易量
No

Nuclear
$4,877 交易量
No

Tesla
$7,719 交易量
No

DOGE
$18,301 交易量
No

Matt Gaetz
$8,999 交易量
No

Mexico
$4,412 交易量
Yes

Fake News
$7,370 交易量
No

Day One
$57,781 交易量
No

Kamala
$9,749 交易量
Yes

Israel
$10,034 交易量
Yes

市场背景

What will Trump say during NBC interview?

规则

What will Trump say during NBC interview?

市场背景

What will Trump say during NBC interview?

关于

What will Trump say during NBC interview?

Crypto/Bitcoin$239,787 交易量No

Pete Hegseth$267,220 交易量Yes

Ukraine 3+ times$35,509 交易量Yes

China 3+ times$15,030 交易量Yes

Tax 3+ times$7,393 交易量Yes

Tariff 3+ times$12,206 交易量Yes

Border 5+ times$12,649 交易量Yes

Taiwan$6,623 交易量No

Pardon$10,717 交易量Yes

Hunter$22,683 交易量Yes

Elon$20,368 交易量No

Nuclear$4,877 交易量No

Tesla$7,719 交易量No

DOGE$18,301 交易量No

Matt Gaetz$8,999 交易量No

Mexico$4,412 交易量Yes

Fake News$7,370 交易量No

Day One$57,781 交易量No

Kamala$9,749 交易量Yes

Israel$10,034 交易量Yes

市场背景

What will Trump say during NBC interview?

规则

What will Trump say during NBC interview?

市场背景

What will Trump say during NBC interview?

关于

Crypto/Bitcoin
$239,787 交易量
No

Pete Hegseth
$267,220 交易量
Yes

Ukraine 3+ times
$35,509 交易量
Yes

China 3+ times
$15,030 交易量
Yes

Tax 3+ times
$7,393 交易量
Yes

Tariff 3+ times
$12,206 交易量
Yes

Border 5+ times
$12,649 交易量
Yes

Taiwan
$6,623 交易量
No

Pardon
$10,717 交易量
Yes

Hunter
$22,683 交易量
Yes

Elon
$20,368 交易量
No

Nuclear
$4,877 交易量
No

Tesla
$7,719 交易量
No

DOGE
$18,301 交易量
No

Matt Gaetz
$8,999 交易量
No

Mexico
$4,412 交易量
Yes

Fake News
$7,370 交易量
No

Day One
$57,781 交易量
No

Kamala
$9,749 交易量
Yes

Israel
$10,034 交易量
Yes