Name: 德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜出者
Start: 2025-07-10T21:36:35.289529Z
End: 2026-03-03T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. 

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


肯·帕克斯顿

分组项标题：约翰·康宁

道恩·班克汉姆

Beth Van Duyne

分组项标题：韦斯利·亨特

德克萨斯州参议院初选衍生

德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜出者

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, John Cornyn becomes the favorite in the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" (https://polymarket.com/event/texas-republican-senate-primary-winner) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

John Cornyn will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Ken Paxton in more individual minutes than Ken Paxton is ahead of John Cornyn during a qualifying time period.

A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-cornyn-flip-paxton-for-texas-rep-senate-primary-winner-by-jan-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

科尔宁会在1月31日前拉拢帕克斯顿，赢得德州参议员初选吗？

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德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜出者

肯·帕克斯顿
$362,617 交易量
65%

分组项标题：约翰·康宁
$985,477 交易量
26%

分组项标题：韦斯利·亨特
$265,217 交易量
6%

道恩·班克汉姆
$136,735 交易量
1%

Beth Van Duyne
$169,300 交易量
<1%

市场背景

德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜出者

规则

德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜出者

市场背景

德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜出者

关于

德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜出者

肯·帕克斯顿$362,617 交易量65%买入 是66¢买入 否36¢

分组项标题：约翰·康宁$985,477 交易量26%买入 是27¢买入 否75¢

分组项标题：韦斯利·亨特$265,217 交易量6%买入 是6.0¢买入 否94.1¢

道恩·班克汉姆$136,735 交易量1%买入 是0.6¢买入 否99.6¢

Beth Van Duyne$169,300 交易量<1%买入 是0.2¢买入 否99.9¢

市场背景

德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜出者

规则

德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜出者

市场背景

德克萨斯州共和党参议院初选胜出者

关于

肯·帕克斯顿
$362,617 交易量
65%

分组项标题：约翰·康宁
$985,477 交易量
26%

分组项标题：韦斯利·亨特
$265,217 交易量
6%

道恩·班克汉姆
$136,735 交易量
1%

Beth Van Duyne
$169,300 交易量
<1%