Name: Popular Vote Winner 2024
Start: 2024-01-09T23:37:00Z
End: 2024-11-04T12:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

This is a market on predicting the winner of the popular vote in the 2024 presidential election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michelle Obama is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Michelle Obama

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ron DeSantis is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Ron DeSantis

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kamala Harris is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Kamala Harris

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Donald Trump

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Joe Biden is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.


Joe Biden

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nikki Haley is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Nikki Haley

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vivek Ramaswamy is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Vivek Ramaswamy

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Gavin Newsom is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Gavin Newsom

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Christie is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Chris Christie

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Hillary Clinton is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Hillary Clinton

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bernie Sanders is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Bernie Sanders

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elizabeth Warren is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Elizabeth Warren

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kanye West is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Note: An update may be made to this market to allow for early expiration if the candidate is definitively no longer in contention for the presidency.


Kanye West

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Democratic Politician other than Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kamala Harris, Michelle Obama, Hillary Clinton, AOC, Bernie Sanders, and Elizabeth Warren is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Other Democrat Politician

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any other Republican Politician other than Donald J. Trump, Nikki Haley, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Chris Christie is the candidate who receives the most votes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

In case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose last name comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting as to who is the winner of the popular vote.

Other Republican Politician

Popular Vote Winner 2024

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

JD Vance 会赢得 2028 年的美国总统大选吗？

The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

问题：民主党会在2028年美国总统大选中获胜吗？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

加文·纽瑟姆会赢得2028年民主党总统候选人提名吗？

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

埃里克·斯沃尔韦尔会在2026年加利福尼亚州州长选举中获胜吗？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.


科罗拉多雪崩队会赢得2026年NHL斯坦利杯吗？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

J.D. Vance 会赢得2028年共和党总统候选人提名吗？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is awarded the 2025–26 regular season NBA Most Valuable Player (MVP) Award. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 NBA MVP award, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NBA Finals based off the rules of the NBA.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

俄克拉荷马城雷霆队会在2026年NBA总决赛中夺冠吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

共和党会在2026年赢得佛罗里达州州长选举吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主党会在2026年弗吉尼亚州参议员选举中获胜吗？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual  will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

利兹·切尼会在2027年前宣布参选总统吗？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

特朗普会在2027年之前支持JD万斯竞选总统吗？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl LX. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the Super Bowl based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

问题：西雅图海鹰队会赢得2026年超级碗吗？

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

民主党会赢得内华达州第4选区众议院席位吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oregon gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主党会在2026年赢得俄勒冈州州长选举吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

共和党会在2026年得克萨斯州州长选举中获胜吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

共和党会在2026年赢得俄亥俄州州长选举吗？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Seattle Seahawks win the 2025-26 NFC Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the NFC Championship based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

问题：西雅图海鹰队会赢得2026年NFC冠军赛吗？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Valerie Foushee会成为北卡罗来纳州第4选区的民主党提名人吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

共和党将在2026年赢得佛罗里达州参议院选举吗？

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

特朗普会在2027年前支持任何总统候选人吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主党会在2026年赢得科罗拉多州州长选举吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. 

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. 

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主党会在2026年赢得亚利桑那州州长选举吗？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

劳拉·吉伦会成为纽约第4选区的民主党候选人吗？

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

卢拉会在2026年的巴西总统选举中获胜吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Kansas gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

共和党会在2026年堪萨斯州州长选举中获胜吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主党会在2026年赢得内华达州州长选举吗？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.  

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".  

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

汤姆·贝吉奇会赢得2026年阿拉斯加州长选举吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

共和党将在2026年赢得佛蒙特州州长选举吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

共和党会在2026年路易斯安那州参议员选举中获胜吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主党会在2026年赢得密歇根州长选举吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主党会在2026年马萨诸塞州州长竞选中获胜吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

丹·沙利文会在2026年阿拉斯加参议院选举中获胜吗？

This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections.

A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives, if they win a majority of voting seats.

A party will be considered to have 'control' of the Senate if they have more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President.

A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. 

If control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

问题：2026年权力平衡：R 参议院，D 众议院

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主党会在2026年赢得马里兰州州长选举吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New York gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主党会在2026年赢得纽约州长选举吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主党将在2026年宾夕法尼亚州州长竞选中获胜吗？

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the New England Patriots win the 2025-26 AFC Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the AFC Championship based on the rules of the NFL (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

新英格兰爱国者队会赢得 AFC冠军赛吗？

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 16, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

伊莱恩·卢里娅会成为弗吉尼亚第二区的民主党提名人吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Minnesota gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主党将在2026年赢得明尼苏达州州长选举吗？

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

民主党会赢得纽约第4选区众议院席位吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oregon U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主党会在2026年赢得俄勒冈州参议院选举吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

共和党会在2026年赢得德克萨斯州参议院选举吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

共和党会在2026年赢得俄亥俄州参议员选举吗？

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027.  This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. 

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

问题：乔丹·巴德拉拉会赢得2027年法国总统大选吗？

This polymarket will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is named the 2025–26 NFL regular season MVP. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 NFL MVP is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

马修·斯塔福德会赢得2025–26赛季的NFL MVP奖吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

民主党会在2026年赢得缅因州州长选举吗？

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Popular Vote Winner 2024

Michelle Obama
$36,970,806 交易量
No

Ron DeSantis
$39,315,353 交易量
No

Kamala Harris
$163,779,787 交易量
No

Donald Trump
$119,932,621 交易量
Yes

Joe Biden
$12,582,925 交易量
No

Nikki Haley
$21,923,974 交易量
No

Vivek Ramaswamy
$5,699,934 交易量
No

Gavin Newsom
$8,544,096 交易量
No

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$47,770,371 交易量
No

Chris Christie
$5,734,813 交易量
No

Hillary Clinton
$70,237,133 交易量
No

Bernie Sanders
$6,000,188 交易量
No

AOC
$6,367,581 交易量
No

Elizabeth Warren
$5,356,970 交易量
No

Kanye West
$6,217,812 交易量
No

Other Democrat Politician
$36,496,307 交易量
No

Other Republican Politician
$35,232,789 交易量
No

市场背景

Popular Vote Winner 2024

规则

Popular Vote Winner 2024

市场背景

Popular Vote Winner 2024

关于

Popular Vote Winner 2024

Michelle Obama$36,970,806 交易量No

Ron DeSantis$39,315,353 交易量No

Kamala Harris$163,779,787 交易量No

Donald Trump$119,932,621 交易量Yes

Joe Biden$12,582,925 交易量No

Nikki Haley$21,923,974 交易量No

Vivek Ramaswamy$5,699,934 交易量No

Gavin Newsom$8,544,096 交易量No

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$47,770,371 交易量No

Chris Christie$5,734,813 交易量No

Hillary Clinton$70,237,133 交易量No

Bernie Sanders$6,000,188 交易量No

AOC$6,367,581 交易量No

Elizabeth Warren$5,356,970 交易量No

Kanye West$6,217,812 交易量No

Other Democrat Politician$36,496,307 交易量No

Other Republican Politician$35,232,789 交易量No

市场背景

Popular Vote Winner 2024

规则

Popular Vote Winner 2024

市场背景

Popular Vote Winner 2024

关于

Michelle Obama
$36,970,806 交易量
No

Ron DeSantis
$39,315,353 交易量
No

Kamala Harris
$163,779,787 交易量
No

Donald Trump
$119,932,621 交易量
Yes

Joe Biden
$12,582,925 交易量
No

Nikki Haley
$21,923,974 交易量
No

Vivek Ramaswamy
$5,699,934 交易量
No

Gavin Newsom
$8,544,096 交易量
No

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$47,770,371 交易量
No

Chris Christie
$5,734,813 交易量
No

Hillary Clinton
$70,237,133 交易量
No

Bernie Sanders
$6,000,188 交易量
No

AOC
$6,367,581 交易量
No

Elizabeth Warren
$5,356,970 交易量
No

Kanye West
$6,217,812 交易量
No

Other Democrat Politician
$36,496,307 交易量
No

Other Republican Politician
$35,232,789 交易量
No