2026年有多少次SpaceX星舰发射进入太空？
5-6 36%
7-8 26%
9-10 14%
11-12 12.8%
$53,796 交易量
$53,796 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
少于5次
$1,484 交易量
11%
少于5次
$1,484 交易量
11%
5-6
$1,374 交易量
36%
5-6
$1,374 交易量
36%
7-8
$45,086 交易量
26%
7-8
$45,086 交易量
26%
9-10
$1,191 交易量
14%
9-10
$1,191 交易量
14%
11-12
$1,252 交易量
13%
11-12
$1,252 交易量
13%
13-14
$1,176 交易量
6%
13-14
$1,176 交易量
6%
15-16
$1,195 交易量
6%
15-16
$1,195 交易量
6%
>16
$1,038 交易量
4%
>16
$1,038 交易量
4%
规则
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.
The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
创建于： Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ET
交易量
$53,796结束日期
Dec 31, 2026创建于
Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...2026年有多少次SpaceX星舰发射进入太空？
5-6 36%
7-8 26%
9-10 14%
11-12 12.8%
$53,796 交易量
$53,796 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
少于5次
$1,484 交易量
11%
5-6
$1,374 交易量
36%
7-8
$45,086 交易量
26%
9-10
$1,191 交易量
14%
11-12
$1,252 交易量
13%
13-14
$1,176 交易量
6%
15-16
$1,195 交易量
6%
>16
$1,038 交易量
4%
关于
交易量
$53,796结束日期
Dec 31, 2026创建于
Dec 11, 2025, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...注意外部链接。
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