2026年美联储会降息多少次？
3（75 个基点） 27%
2（50个基点） 23%
4（100 基点） 16%
1 (25 个基点) 14%
$3,258,651 交易量
$3,258,651 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
0（0 基点）
$516,512 交易量
7%
0（0 基点）
$516,512 交易量
7%
1 (25 个基点)
$290,402 交易量
14%
1 (25 个基点)
$290,402 交易量
14%
2（50个基点）
$300,753 交易量
23%
2（50个基点）
$300,753 交易量
23%
3（75 个基点）
$204,757 交易量
27%
3（75 个基点）
$204,757 交易量
27%
4（100 基点）
$174,124 交易量
16%
4（100 基点）
$174,124 交易量
16%
5（125个基点）
$199,050 交易量
7%
5（125个基点）
$199,050 交易量
7%
6（150个基点）
$216,639 交易量
4%
6（150个基点）
$216,639 交易量
4%
分组项标题：7（175 个基点）
$173,893 交易量
2%
分组项标题：7（175 个基点）
$173,893 交易量
2%
8（200 个基点）
$269,051 交易量
1%
8（200 个基点）
$269,051 交易量
1%
9（225 个基点）
$208,282 交易量
1%
9（225 个基点）
$208,282 交易量
1%
分组项标题：10（250 个基点）
$222,969 交易量
1%
分组项标题：10（250 个基点）
$222,969 交易量
1%
11 (275 bps)
$232,599 交易量
<1%
11 (275 bps)
$232,599 交易量
<1%
12+ (300+ 基点)
$249,620 交易量
2%
12+ (300+ 基点)
$249,620 交易量
2%
规则
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
Emergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
For example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).
This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible — i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.
Note that cuts between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.
The resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
创建于： Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ET
交易量
$3,258,651结束日期
Dec 31, 2026创建于
Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...2026年美联储会降息多少次？
3（75 个基点） 27%
2（50个基点） 23%
4（100 基点） 16%
1 (25 个基点) 14%
$3,258,651 交易量
$3,258,651 交易量
Dec 31, 2026
0（0 基点）
$516,512 交易量
7%
1 (25 个基点)
$290,402 交易量
14%
2（50个基点）
$300,753 交易量
23%
3（75 个基点）
$204,757 交易量
27%
4（100 基点）
$174,124 交易量
16%
5（125个基点）
$199,050 交易量
7%
6（150个基点）
$216,639 交易量
4%
分组项标题：7（175 个基点）
$173,893 交易量
2%
8（200 个基点）
$269,051 交易量
1%
9（225 个基点）
$208,282 交易量
1%
分组项标题：10（250 个基点）
$222,969 交易量
1%
11 (275 bps)
$232,599 交易量
<1%
12+ (300+ 基点)
$249,620 交易量
2%
关于
交易量
$3,258,651结束日期
Dec 31, 2026创建于
Sep 29, 2025, 6:08 PM ETResolver
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