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又一次美国对委内瑞拉的打击,由……?

$1,861,884 交易量

Jan 31, 2026

规则

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on Venezuelan soil is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within Venezuela.

A strike on any area within the terrestrial territory (including rivers, lakes, ports, but excluding territorial sea) of Venezuela counts.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Venezuelan territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, ground incursions, naval shelling, or cyberattacks will not qualify.

Any strike occurring during this market’s timeframe that is claimed by either Donald Trump or the U.S. government will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
交易量
$1,861,884
结束日期
Jan 31, 2026
创建于
Jan 3, 2026, 11:24 AM ET

注意外部链接。

Market icon

又一次美国对委内瑞拉的打击,由……?

$1,861,884 交易量

1月31日

$494,277 交易量

2%

3月31日

$63,174 交易量

13%

12月31日

$43,081 交易量

30%

关于

交易量
$1,861,884
结束日期
Jan 31, 2026
创建于
Jan 3, 2026, 11:24 AM ET

注意外部链接。