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Tham gia Jan 2026·3 lượt xem

$68.46

Giá trị vị thế

$39.50

Thắng lớn nhất

Dự đoán

Lãi/Lỗ

$0.39

Ngày qua

Hiện tại

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 79¢

29.5 cổ phần

79¢

78¢

$23.04-$0.30 (-1.27%)

Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 79¢

29.5 cổ phần

$23.04-$0.30 (-1.27%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

No 74¢

20.0 cổ phần

74¢

81¢

$16.20$1.40 (9.46%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

No 74¢

20.0 cổ phần

$16.20$1.40 (9.46%)

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

Yes 50¢

20.0 cổ phần

50¢

30¢

$6.00-$4.00 (-40%)

Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?

Yes 50¢

20.0 cổ phần

$6.00-$4.00 (-40%)

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 18¢

10.0 cổ phần

18¢

51¢

$5.10$3.30 (183.33%)

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

No 18¢

10.0 cổ phần

$5.10$3.30 (183.33%)

Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

No 10.1¢

30.0 cổ phần

10.1¢

15.5¢

$4.64$1.60 (52.97%)

Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

No 10.1¢

30.0 cổ phần

$4.64$1.60 (52.97%)

Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.2¢

600.0 cổ phần

0.2¢

0.7¢

$3.90$2.70 (225%)

Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.2¢

600.0 cổ phần

$3.90$2.70 (225%)

Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

No 28¢

10.0 cổ phần

28¢

28.5¢

$2.85$0.05 (1.74%)

Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?

No 28¢

10.0 cổ phần

$2.85$0.05 (1.74%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 22¢

5.0 cổ phần

22¢

21.5¢

$1.08-$0.03 (-2.27%)

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 22¢

5.0 cổ phần

$1.08-$0.03 (-2.27%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

Yes 17¢

10.0 cổ phần

17¢

10.5¢

$1.05-$0.65 (-38.24%)

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?

Yes 17¢

10.0 cổ phần

$1.05-$0.65 (-38.24%)

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.7¢

150.0 cổ phần

0.7¢

$0.98-$0.08 (-7.14%)

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 0.7¢

150.0 cổ phần

$0.98-$0.08 (-7.14%)

Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 9.9¢

11.0 cổ phần

9.9¢

8.3¢

$0.91-$0.18 (-16.67%)

Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?

Yes 9.9¢

11.0 cổ phần

$0.91-$0.18 (-16.67%)

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

No 10¢

20.0 cổ phần

10¢

4.5¢

$0.89-$1.11 (-55.51%)

Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?

No 10¢

20.0 cổ phần

$0.89-$1.11 (-55.51%)

Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1¢

100.0 cổ phần

1¢

0.9¢

$0.85-$0.15 (-15%)

Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 1¢

100.0 cổ phần

$0.85-$0.15 (-15%)

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 20¢

10.0 cổ phần

20¢

7.5¢

$0.75-$1.25 (-62.5%)

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 20¢

10.0 cổ phần

$0.75-$1.25 (-62.5%)

Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?

No 7¢

15.0 cổ phần

7¢

1.6¢

$0.23-$0.82 (-77.86%)

Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?

No 7¢

15.0 cổ phần

$0.23-$0.82 (-77.86%)