Spain and France hold narrow edges in the 2026 World Cup winner market as the group stage opens, reflecting their recent Euro 2024 pedigree, elite squad depth featuring talents like Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé, and consistent form heading into the expanded 48-team tournament in North America. Portugal has gained ground from betting volume while England, Brazil, and defending champions Argentina sit just behind, supported by strong qualifying campaigns and star power. The tight clustering among the top seven or eight sides stems from balanced European and South American contenders, home-host advantages for the USA and Mexico after early wins, and the inherent unpredictability of a long knockout path where upsets, injuries, and fixture congestion can rapidly shift implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTây Ban Nha 16.8%
Pháp 16.1%
Bồ Đào Nha 10.5%
Anh 9.7%
$2,192,117,841 KL.
$2,192,117,841 KL.
Tây Ban Nha
17%
Pháp
16%
Bồ Đào Nha
11%
Anh
10%
Brazil
8%
Argentina
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
5%
Na Uy
3%
Bỉ
2%
Hoa Kỳ
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Colombia
2%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Ma-rốc
1%
Mexico
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Ecuador
1%
Croatia
1%
Senegal
1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Austria
<1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Canada
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Tây Ban Nha 16.8%
Pháp 16.1%
Bồ Đào Nha 10.5%
Anh 9.7%
$2,192,117,841 KL.
$2,192,117,841 KL.
Tây Ban Nha
17%
Pháp
16%
Bồ Đào Nha
11%
Anh
10%
Brazil
8%
Argentina
8%
Đức
5%
Hà Lan
5%
Na Uy
3%
Bỉ
2%
Hoa Kỳ
2%
Nhật Bản
2%
Colombia
2%
Thụy Sĩ
1%
Ma-rốc
1%
Mexico
1%
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
1%
Uruguay
1%
Ecuador
1%
Croatia
1%
Senegal
1%
Hàn Quốc
<1%
Austria
<1%
Bờ Biển Ngà
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Canada
<1%
Scotland
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Cộng hòa Dân chủ Congo
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
New Zealand
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Jordan
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Nam Phi
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France hold narrow edges in the 2026 World Cup winner market as the group stage opens, reflecting their recent Euro 2024 pedigree, elite squad depth featuring talents like Lamine Yamal and Kylian Mbappé, and consistent form heading into the expanded 48-team tournament in North America. Portugal has gained ground from betting volume while England, Brazil, and defending champions Argentina sit just behind, supported by strong qualifying campaigns and star power. The tight clustering among the top seven or eight sides stems from balanced European and South American contenders, home-host advantages for the USA and Mexico after early wins, and the inherent unpredictability of a long knockout path where upsets, injuries, and fixture congestion can rapidly shift implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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