Trader consensus on Polymarket positions USD/CAD probabilities based on persistent US-Canada interest rate differentials, with the Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%–3.75% versus the Bank of Canada's 2.25% target as of March 2026 announcements, favoring USD strength over the year. Recent pair weakness to 1.364 reflects surging crude oil prices underpinning the commodity-tied Canadian dollar, alongside softer US Treasury yields and optimism around US-Iran ceasefire talks easing supply risks. Key swing factors include April 29 policy decisions from both central banks and May CPI releases, with forecasts eyeing a 1.34–1.44 trading range amid volatile geopolitics and trade flows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$11,608 KL.
↑1.70
7%
↑1.60
10%
↑1.55
12%
↑1.50
39%
↑1.45
52%
↑1.42
60%
↓1.33
52%
↓1.30
45%
↓1.25
36%
↓1.20
42%
↓1.10
28%
$11,608 KL.
↑1.70
7%
↑1.60
10%
↑1.55
12%
↑1.50
39%
↑1.45
52%
↑1.42
60%
↓1.33
52%
↓1.30
45%
↓1.25
36%
↓1.20
42%
↓1.10
28%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Thị trường mở: Feb 6, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/CAD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/CAD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-cad-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions USD/CAD probabilities based on persistent US-Canada interest rate differentials, with the Federal Reserve holding the federal funds rate at 3.50%–3.75% versus the Bank of Canada's 2.25% target as of March 2026 announcements, favoring USD strength over the year. Recent pair weakness to 1.364 reflects surging crude oil prices underpinning the commodity-tied Canadian dollar, alongside softer US Treasury yields and optimism around US-Iran ceasefire talks easing supply risks. Key swing factors include April 29 policy decisions from both central banks and May CPI releases, with forecasts eyeing a 1.34–1.44 trading range amid volatile geopolitics and trade flows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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