Trump's frequent Truth Social activity, including direct commentary on foreign policy, tariffs, immigration enforcement, and political opponents, drives trader consensus on daily insult markets, with near-continuous streaks observed since mid-June 2026 pushing implied probabilities above 90% for additional instances. Primary catalysts include ongoing posts related to Iran developments, trade measures, and domestic policy that often feature critical language. As president, his platform remains the main channel for unfiltered statements, consistent with historical patterns of using social media to shape narratives. Upcoming factors that could influence outcomes include scheduled diplomatic events, legislative votes, or economic data releases that prompt responses. Markets reflect real-money trader assessments of these recurring dynamics rather than guarantees.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$431,181 KL.
July 1
Yes
July 2
Yes
July 3
Yes
July 4
Yes
July 5
Yes
July 6
Yes
July 7
No
July 8
Yes
July 9
No
July 10
No
July 11
Yes
July 12
Yes
July 13
Yes
July 14
Yes
July 15
Yes
July 16
No
July 17
Yes
July 18
Yes
July 19
Yes
July 20
No
July 21
Yes
July 22
Yes
July 23
Yes
July 24
Yes
July 25
No
July 26
Yes
July 27
Yes
July 28
Yes
July 29
Yes
July 30
No
July 31
Yes
$431,181 KL.
July 1
Yes
July 2
Yes
July 3
Yes
July 4
Yes
July 5
Yes
July 6
Yes
July 7
No
July 8
Yes
July 9
No
July 10
No
July 11
Yes
July 12
Yes
July 13
Yes
July 14
Yes
July 15
Yes
July 16
No
July 17
Yes
July 18
Yes
July 19
Yes
July 20
No
July 21
Yes
July 22
Yes
July 23
Yes
July 24
Yes
July 25
No
July 26
Yes
July 27
Yes
July 28
Yes
July 29
Yes
July 30
No
July 31
Yes
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
Trump's frequent Truth Social activity, including direct commentary on foreign policy, tariffs, immigration enforcement, and political opponents, drives trader consensus on daily insult markets, with near-continuous streaks observed since mid-June 2026 pushing implied probabilities above 90% for additional instances. Primary catalysts include ongoing posts related to Iran developments, trade measures, and domestic policy that often feature critical language. As president, his platform remains the main channel for unfiltered statements, consistent with historical patterns of using social media to shape narratives. Upcoming factors that could influence outcomes include scheduled diplomatic events, legislative votes, or economic data releases that prompt responses. Markets reflect real-money trader assessments of these recurring dynamics rather than guarantees.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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