Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including renewed strikes on Iranian targets and Iranian responses in the Strait of Hormuz region on September 2, 2026, continue to shape trader views on formal war declaration prospects. The conflict began with US and Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, followed by Iranian retaliation, a June memorandum of understanding for ceasefire and talks, and subsequent breakdowns amid shipping attacks and further military exchanges. President Trump has referenced military operations and weighed formal steps or ending hostilities ahead of midterms, while Congress has received notifications on actions but has not passed a declaration. Structural barriers, including constitutional requirements for congressional approval and ongoing diplomatic channels through mediators, limit escalation to official war status despite active combat operations. Scheduled diplomatic or legislative developments could influence near-term odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiệu Mỹ có chính thức tuyên chiến với Iran vào...?
Liệu Mỹ có chính thức tuyên chiến với Iran vào...?
$7,810,136 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
31 tháng 12
3%
$7,810,136 KL.
31 tháng 12
$837,502 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including renewed strikes on Iranian targets and Iranian responses in the Strait of Hormuz region on September 2, 2026, continue to shape trader views on formal war declaration prospects. The conflict began with US and Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, followed by Iranian retaliation, a June memorandum of understanding for ceasefire and talks, and subsequent breakdowns amid shipping attacks and further military exchanges. President Trump has referenced military operations and weighed formal steps or ending hostilities ahead of midterms, while Congress has received notifications on actions but has not passed a declaration. Structural barriers, including constitutional requirements for congressional approval and ongoing diplomatic channels through mediators, limit escalation to official war status despite active combat operations. Scheduled diplomatic or legislative developments could influence near-term odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,810,136Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including renewed strikes on Iranian targets and Iranian responses in the Strait of Hormuz region on September 2, 2026, continue to shape trader views on formal war declaration prospects. The conflict began with US and Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, followed by Iranian retaliation, a June memorandum of understanding for ceasefire and talks, and subsequent breakdowns amid shipping attacks and further military exchanges. President Trump has referenced military operations and weighed formal steps or ending hostilities ahead of midterms, while Congress has received notifications on actions but has not passed a declaration. Structural barriers, including constitutional requirements for congressional approval and ongoing diplomatic channels through mediators, limit escalation to official war status despite active combat operations. Scheduled diplomatic or legislative developments could influence near-term odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$7,810,136Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran hostilities, including renewed strikes on Iranian targets and Iranian responses in the Strait of Hormuz region on September 2, 2026, continue to shape trader views on formal war declaration prospects. The conflict began with US and Israeli strikes on February 28, 2026, followed by Iranian retaliation, a June memorandum of understanding for ceasefire and talks, and subsequent breakdowns amid shipping attacks and further military exchanges. President Trump has referenced military operations and weighed formal steps or ending hostilities ahead of midterms, while Congress has received notifications on actions but has not passed a declaration. Structural barriers, including constitutional requirements for congressional approval and ongoing diplomatic channels through mediators, limit escalation to official war status despite active combat operations. Scheduled diplomatic or legislative developments could influence near-term odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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