Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains firmly committed to his Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, scheduled for late May, as evidenced by recent interviews, joint rallies, and an escalating ad war just days ago. Traders' near-unanimous 95.3% implied probability on "No" reflects his track record of political resilience—surviving a 2023 impeachment acquittal and resolving prior securities fraud charges—amid competitive polling and no fresh withdrawal signals despite March's conditional SAVE Act offer that never materialized. Fundraising shortfalls and President Trump's pending endorsement add tension, but Paxton's base mobilization sustains momentum. Realistic shifts could stem from a decisive anti-Paxton Trump nod, late scandals, health issues, or abrupt legal reversals, though barriers remain high given the tight timeline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Ken Paxton drop out?
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
MỚI
MỚI
May 25, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
May 25, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains firmly committed to his Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, scheduled for late May, as evidenced by recent interviews, joint rallies, and an escalating ad war just days ago. Traders' near-unanimous 95.3% implied probability on "No" reflects his track record of political resilience—surviving a 2023 impeachment acquittal and resolving prior securities fraud charges—amid competitive polling and no fresh withdrawal signals despite March's conditional SAVE Act offer that never materialized. Fundraising shortfalls and President Trump's pending endorsement add tension, but Paxton's base mobilization sustains momentum. Realistic shifts could stem from a decisive anti-Paxton Trump nod, late scandals, health issues, or abrupt legal reversals, though barriers remain high given the tight timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,796Ngày kết thúc
May 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains firmly committed to his Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, scheduled for late May, as evidenced by recent interviews, joint rallies, and an escalating ad war just days ago. Traders' near-unanimous 95.3% implied probability on "No" reflects his track record of political resilience—surviving a 2023 impeachment acquittal and resolving prior securities fraud charges—amid competitive polling and no fresh withdrawal signals despite March's conditional SAVE Act offer that never materialized. Fundraising shortfalls and President Trump's pending endorsement add tension, but Paxton's base mobilization sustains momentum. Realistic shifts could stem from a decisive anti-Paxton Trump nod, late scandals, health issues, or abrupt legal reversals, though barriers remain high given the tight timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$5,796Ngày kết thúc
May 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains firmly committed to his Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff against incumbent Sen. John Cornyn, scheduled for late May, as evidenced by recent interviews, joint rallies, and an escalating ad war just days ago. Traders' near-unanimous 95.3% implied probability on "No" reflects his track record of political resilience—surviving a 2023 impeachment acquittal and resolving prior securities fraud charges—amid competitive polling and no fresh withdrawal signals despite March's conditional SAVE Act offer that never materialized. Fundraising shortfalls and President Trump's pending endorsement add tension, but Paxton's base mobilization sustains momentum. Realistic shifts could stem from a decisive anti-Paxton Trump nod, late scandals, health issues, or abrupt legal reversals, though barriers remain high given the tight timeline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp