Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains committed to the U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff against incumbent John Cornyn on May 26, driving trader consensus to a 90.4% implied probability against dropout. The March 17 ballot withdrawal deadline passed without Paxton exiting, despite his earlier conditional offer to withdraw if Senate GOP leadership advanced the SAVE Act voter ID bill—which stalled. Recent developments include Paxton's April 7 attack ad slamming Cornyn for blocking Trump priorities, an April 14 interview pledging endorsement if Cornyn wins to unify Republicans against Democrat James Talarico, and ongoing office actions like suing Houston over SB 4 immigration enforcement. Close polls show Cornyn edging Paxton 44%-43%, but historical base rates favor late-race staying power barring scandals, Trump endorsement shifts, or legal surprises in Paxton's securities fraud case.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Ken Paxton drop out?
Will Ken Paxton drop out?
MỚI
MỚI
May 25, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
May 25, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains committed to the U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff against incumbent John Cornyn on May 26, driving trader consensus to a 90.4% implied probability against dropout. The March 17 ballot withdrawal deadline passed without Paxton exiting, despite his earlier conditional offer to withdraw if Senate GOP leadership advanced the SAVE Act voter ID bill—which stalled. Recent developments include Paxton's April 7 attack ad slamming Cornyn for blocking Trump priorities, an April 14 interview pledging endorsement if Cornyn wins to unify Republicans against Democrat James Talarico, and ongoing office actions like suing Houston over SB 4 immigration enforcement. Close polls show Cornyn edging Paxton 44%-43%, but historical base rates favor late-race staying power barring scandals, Trump endorsement shifts, or legal surprises in Paxton's securities fraud case.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
Khối lượng
$5,112Ngày kết thúc
May 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains committed to the U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff against incumbent John Cornyn on May 26, driving trader consensus to a 90.4% implied probability against dropout. The March 17 ballot withdrawal deadline passed without Paxton exiting, despite his earlier conditional offer to withdraw if Senate GOP leadership advanced the SAVE Act voter ID bill—which stalled. Recent developments include Paxton's April 7 attack ad slamming Cornyn for blocking Trump priorities, an April 14 interview pledging endorsement if Cornyn wins to unify Republicans against Democrat James Talarico, and ongoing office actions like suing Houston over SB 4 immigration enforcement. Close polls show Cornyn edging Paxton 44%-43%, but historical base rates favor late-race staying power barring scandals, Trump endorsement shifts, or legal surprises in Paxton's securities fraud case.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ken Paxton withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2026 Texas Senate Republican Primary election, or announces the suspension of his 2026 Senate campaign, by May 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Ken Paxton or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$5,112Ngày kết thúc
May 25, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 9, 2026, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton remains committed to the U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff against incumbent John Cornyn on May 26, driving trader consensus to a 90.4% implied probability against dropout. The March 17 ballot withdrawal deadline passed without Paxton exiting, despite his earlier conditional offer to withdraw if Senate GOP leadership advanced the SAVE Act voter ID bill—which stalled. Recent developments include Paxton's April 7 attack ad slamming Cornyn for blocking Trump priorities, an April 14 interview pledging endorsement if Cornyn wins to unify Republicans against Democrat James Talarico, and ongoing office actions like suing Houston over SB 4 immigration enforcement. Close polls show Cornyn edging Paxton 44%-43%, but historical base rates favor late-race staying power barring scandals, Trump endorsement shifts, or legal surprises in Paxton's securities fraud case.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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