Tight cattle inventories at 75-year lows, driven by prolonged drought and elevated feed costs, remain the dominant force supporting elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with USDA forecasts projecting wholesale beef prices to advance another 6.9% after last year’s 13.9% gain. Retail ground beef averaged $6.69 per pound by late 2025 and continues near record levels amid resilient consumer demand that has outpaced overall food inflation. Limited domestic production, expected to fall below 26 billion pounds, is being offset by rising imports of lean trimmings, while strong seasonal demand through summer grilling periods could sustain upward pressure on cutout values. Traders are monitoring fed-cattle price trajectories near $235 per hundredweight and any shifts in import volumes or feed-cost trends that could alter the supply-demand balance before year-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$18,746 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
78%
$8.000+
48%
$9.000+
38%
$10.000+
15%
$18,746 KL.
$7.000+
$50 KL.
78%
$8.000+
$1,518 KL.
48%
$9.000+
$22 KL.
38%
$10.000+
$17,156 KL.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle inventories at 75-year lows, driven by prolonged drought and elevated feed costs, remain the dominant force supporting elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with USDA forecasts projecting wholesale beef prices to advance another 6.9% after last year’s 13.9% gain. Retail ground beef averaged $6.69 per pound by late 2025 and continues near record levels amid resilient consumer demand that has outpaced overall food inflation. Limited domestic production, expected to fall below 26 billion pounds, is being offset by rising imports of lean trimmings, while strong seasonal demand through summer grilling periods could sustain upward pressure on cutout values. Traders are monitoring fed-cattle price trajectories near $235 per hundredweight and any shifts in import volumes or feed-cost trends that could alter the supply-demand balance before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,746Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle inventories at 75-year lows, driven by prolonged drought and elevated feed costs, remain the dominant force supporting elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with USDA forecasts projecting wholesale beef prices to advance another 6.9% after last year’s 13.9% gain. Retail ground beef averaged $6.69 per pound by late 2025 and continues near record levels amid resilient consumer demand that has outpaced overall food inflation. Limited domestic production, expected to fall below 26 billion pounds, is being offset by rising imports of lean trimmings, while strong seasonal demand through summer grilling periods could sustain upward pressure on cutout values. Traders are monitoring fed-cattle price trajectories near $235 per hundredweight and any shifts in import volumes or feed-cost trends that could alter the supply-demand balance before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$18,746Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight cattle inventories at 75-year lows, driven by prolonged drought and elevated feed costs, remain the dominant force supporting elevated ground beef prices in 2026, with USDA forecasts projecting wholesale beef prices to advance another 6.9% after last year’s 13.9% gain. Retail ground beef averaged $6.69 per pound by late 2025 and continues near record levels amid resilient consumer demand that has outpaced overall food inflation. Limited domestic production, expected to fall below 26 billion pounds, is being offset by rising imports of lean trimmings, while strong seasonal demand through summer grilling periods could sustain upward pressure on cutout values. Traders are monitoring fed-cattle price trajectories near $235 per hundredweight and any shifts in import volumes or feed-cost trends that could alter the supply-demand balance before year-end resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp