Apple’s long-standing practice of unveiling new iPhone models each September underpins the 97% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm that iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max variants, along with a new foldable model, remain on track for a fall launch featuring 2nm chips and under-display Face ID, while the base model may shift to early 2027. This pattern of staggered releases has precedent and aligns with Apple’s hardware roadmap, giving traders high confidence. Still, unforeseen production bottlenecks for advanced components, regulatory hurdles in key markets, or major supply disruptions could push timelines, though such outcomes appear remote given current momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật97% khả năng
$167,259 KL.
$167,259 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
97% khả năng
$167,259 KL.
$167,259 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s long-standing practice of unveiling new iPhone models each September underpins the 97% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm that iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max variants, along with a new foldable model, remain on track for a fall launch featuring 2nm chips and under-display Face ID, while the base model may shift to early 2027. This pattern of staggered releases has precedent and aligns with Apple’s hardware roadmap, giving traders high confidence. Still, unforeseen production bottlenecks for advanced components, regulatory hurdles in key markets, or major supply disruptions could push timelines, though such outcomes appear remote given current momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$167,259Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s long-standing practice of unveiling new iPhone models each September underpins the 97% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm that iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max variants, along with a new foldable model, remain on track for a fall launch featuring 2nm chips and under-display Face ID, while the base model may shift to early 2027. This pattern of staggered releases has precedent and aligns with Apple’s hardware roadmap, giving traders high confidence. Still, unforeseen production bottlenecks for advanced components, regulatory hurdles in key markets, or major supply disruptions could push timelines, though such outcomes appear remote given current momentum.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$167,259Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple’s long-standing practice of unveiling new iPhone models each September underpins the 97% market-implied odds for an iPhone 18 release in 2026. Recent supply-chain reports and credible leaks confirm that iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max variants, along with a new foldable model, remain on track for a fall launch featuring 2nm chips and under-display Face ID, while the base model may shift to early 2027. This pattern of staggered releases has precedent and aligns with Apple’s hardware roadmap, giving traders high confidence. Still, unforeseen production bottlenecks for advanced components, regulatory hurdles in key markets, or major supply disruptions could push timelines, though such outcomes appear remote given current momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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