Recent supply chain reports and analyst confirmations from sources like Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo indicate Apple’s first foldable iPhone—likely branded iPhone Ultra—is on track for a September 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Multiple leaks detail a book-style design with a ~7.8-inch inner display targeting minimal crease visibility, positioning it as a premium hardware shift. Earlier production concerns from Nikkei Asia appear mitigated in updated assessments, supporting limited initial availability rather than a full delay past 2026. Traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to a pre-2027 release based on this consistent momentum toward fall announcement and sales, tempered by typical risks around final assembly yields and component scaling.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật87% khả năng
$277,216 KL.
$277,216 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
87% khả năng
$277,216 KL.
$277,216 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst confirmations from sources like Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo indicate Apple’s first foldable iPhone—likely branded iPhone Ultra—is on track for a September 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Multiple leaks detail a book-style design with a ~7.8-inch inner display targeting minimal crease visibility, positioning it as a premium hardware shift. Earlier production concerns from Nikkei Asia appear mitigated in updated assessments, supporting limited initial availability rather than a full delay past 2026. Traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to a pre-2027 release based on this consistent momentum toward fall announcement and sales, tempered by typical risks around final assembly yields and component scaling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$277,216Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent supply chain reports and analyst confirmations from sources like Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo indicate Apple’s first foldable iPhone—likely branded iPhone Ultra—is on track for a September 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Multiple leaks detail a book-style design with a ~7.8-inch inner display targeting minimal crease visibility, positioning it as a premium hardware shift. Earlier production concerns from Nikkei Asia appear mitigated in updated assessments, supporting limited initial availability rather than a full delay past 2026. Traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to a pre-2027 release based on this consistent momentum toward fall announcement and sales, tempered by typical risks around final assembly yields and component scaling.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$277,216Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent supply chain reports and analyst confirmations from sources like Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and Ming-Chi Kuo indicate Apple’s first foldable iPhone—likely branded iPhone Ultra—is on track for a September 2026 launch alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Multiple leaks detail a book-style design with a ~7.8-inch inner display targeting minimal crease visibility, positioning it as a premium hardware shift. Earlier production concerns from Nikkei Asia appear mitigated in updated assessments, supporting limited initial availability rather than a full delay past 2026. Traders assign an 84.5% implied probability to a pre-2027 release based on this consistent momentum toward fall announcement and sales, tempered by typical risks around final assembly yields and component scaling.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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