**New York’s recent actions serve as the main catalyst behind the 69.5% market-implied probability that at least one state will enact a data center moratorium by year-end.** In June 2026 the state legislature passed the Responsible Data Center Development Act imposing a one-year pause on permits for large (20 MW+) facilities, followed by Governor Hochul’s July executive order halting new environmental permits for hyperscale projects consuming 50 MW or more while agencies study impacts on electricity, water, and land use. This first-in-the-nation statewide measure reflects accelerating pushback against AI-driven data center expansion, fueled by concerns over surging power demand, water consumption, noise, and local grid strain. At least 14–15 states have introduced similar bills in 2026, though most remain stalled, vetoed (as in Maine), or limited to local actions that do not qualify under state-level criteria. Traders appear to price in a solid but not certain chance that additional legislative or executive steps in remaining sessions will meet resolution thresholds, while acknowledging that product timelines, political resistance, and narrow bill scopes can still alter outcomes before December 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
70% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
70% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**New York’s recent actions serve as the main catalyst behind the 69.5% market-implied probability that at least one state will enact a data center moratorium by year-end.** In June 2026 the state legislature passed the Responsible Data Center Development Act imposing a one-year pause on permits for large (20 MW+) facilities, followed by Governor Hochul’s July executive order halting new environmental permits for hyperscale projects consuming 50 MW or more while agencies study impacts on electricity, water, and land use. This first-in-the-nation statewide measure reflects accelerating pushback against AI-driven data center expansion, fueled by concerns over surging power demand, water consumption, noise, and local grid strain. At least 14–15 states have introduced similar bills in 2026, though most remain stalled, vetoed (as in Maine), or limited to local actions that do not qualify under state-level criteria. Traders appear to price in a solid but not certain chance that additional legislative or executive steps in remaining sessions will meet resolution thresholds, while acknowledging that product timelines, political resistance, and narrow bill scopes can still alter outcomes before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,744Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**New York’s recent actions serve as the main catalyst behind the 69.5% market-implied probability that at least one state will enact a data center moratorium by year-end.** In June 2026 the state legislature passed the Responsible Data Center Development Act imposing a one-year pause on permits for large (20 MW+) facilities, followed by Governor Hochul’s July executive order halting new environmental permits for hyperscale projects consuming 50 MW or more while agencies study impacts on electricity, water, and land use. This first-in-the-nation statewide measure reflects accelerating pushback against AI-driven data center expansion, fueled by concerns over surging power demand, water consumption, noise, and local grid strain. At least 14–15 states have introduced similar bills in 2026, though most remain stalled, vetoed (as in Maine), or limited to local actions that do not qualify under state-level criteria. Traders appear to price in a solid but not certain chance that additional legislative or executive steps in remaining sessions will meet resolution thresholds, while acknowledging that product timelines, political resistance, and narrow bill scopes can still alter outcomes before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$7,744Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**New York’s recent actions serve as the main catalyst behind the 69.5% market-implied probability that at least one state will enact a data center moratorium by year-end.** In June 2026 the state legislature passed the Responsible Data Center Development Act imposing a one-year pause on permits for large (20 MW+) facilities, followed by Governor Hochul’s July executive order halting new environmental permits for hyperscale projects consuming 50 MW or more while agencies study impacts on electricity, water, and land use. This first-in-the-nation statewide measure reflects accelerating pushback against AI-driven data center expansion, fueled by concerns over surging power demand, water consumption, noise, and local grid strain. At least 14–15 states have introduced similar bills in 2026, though most remain stalled, vetoed (as in Maine), or limited to local actions that do not qualify under state-level criteria. Traders appear to price in a solid but not certain chance that additional legislative or executive steps in remaining sessions will meet resolution thresholds, while acknowledging that product timelines, political resistance, and narrow bill scopes can still alter outcomes before December 31.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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