US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$179,103 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
Donald Trump
No
Pete Hegseth
No
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
No
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
No
Steve Witkoff
No
Masoud Pezeshkian
No
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
No
Jared Kushner
No
Mojtaba Khamenei
No
Esmail Qaani
No
Marco Rubio
No
Abbas Araghchi
No
Kazem Gharibabadi
No
Ishaq Dar
No
J.D. Vance
No
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
No
Ahmad Vahidi
No
Rafael Grossi
No
Nick Stewart
No
$179,103 KL.
Donald Trump
$14,129 KL.
No
Pete Hegseth
$4,790 KL.
No
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$4,182 KL.
No
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$569 KL.
No
Steve Witkoff
$27,627 KL.
No
Masoud Pezeshkian
$8,722 KL.
No
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$2,304 KL.
No
Jared Kushner
$28,640 KL.
No
Mojtaba Khamenei
$8,115 KL.
No
Esmail Qaani
$4,541 KL.
No
Marco Rubio
$8,092 KL.
No
Abbas Araghchi
$9,968 KL.
No
Kazem Gharibabadi
$1,972 KL.
No
Ishaq Dar
$3,178 KL.
No
J.D. Vance
$25,409 KL.
No
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$13,930 KL.
No
Ahmad Vahidi
$9,727 KL.
No
Rafael Grossi
$1,430 KL.
No
Nick Stewart
$1,777 KL.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$179,103Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$179,103Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
US-Iran diplomacy in 2026 centered on a June 17 memorandum of understanding that launched a 60-day window for technical talks on the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear inspections, sanctions relief, and a broader ceasefire, following earlier rounds mediated by Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar. High-level exchanges, including sessions involving Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, occurred in June but produced no final accord by the mid-August deadline. By late August, the White House stated that no meaningful negotiations were underway and shifted emphasis to economic pressure, while Iran pursued separate discussions with Oman on Hormuz transit and hosted Qatari efforts to revive channels. These stalled dynamics and absence of confirmed direct US-Iran meetings near the August 31 cutoff frame trader assessments of attendance prospects.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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