Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary features an open seat after term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy, with seventeen candidates vying under the state’s nonpartisan blanket system that advances the highest vote-getters to a ranked-choice general. Recent polling averages show Democrat Tom Begich leading with roughly 40-44 percent support, ahead of Republicans Click Bishop, Bernadette Wilson, and David Bronson in a crowded field that also includes independents like Bill Walker. Vote splitting among multiple Republicans appears to be the dominant factor shaping advancement odds, while early voting has begun and final candidate lists stabilized after the June withdrawal deadline. No major new endorsements or scandals have emerged in the final days to alter these patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWho will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
$235,170 KL.
Tom Begich
98%
Bernadette Wilson
86%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
82%
Dave Bronson
49%
Click Bishop
37%
Treg Taylor
27%
Bill Walker
27%
Shelley Hughes
4%
Matt Heilala
4%
Nancy Dahlstrom
3%
Adam Crum
3%
Lesil McGuire
2%
Jessica Faircloth
2%
Bruce Walden
2%
Hank Kroll
2%
Matt Claman
1%
Edna DeVries
1%
Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%
Gregg Brelsford
1%
James Parkin
<1%
$235,170 KL.
Tom Begich
98%
Bernadette Wilson
86%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
82%
Dave Bronson
49%
Click Bishop
37%
Treg Taylor
27%
Bill Walker
27%
Shelley Hughes
4%
Matt Heilala
4%
Nancy Dahlstrom
3%
Adam Crum
3%
Lesil McGuire
2%
Jessica Faircloth
2%
Bruce Walden
2%
Hank Kroll
2%
Matt Claman
1%
Edna DeVries
1%
Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%
Gregg Brelsford
1%
James Parkin
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Thị trường mở: Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary features an open seat after term-limited incumbent Mike Dunleavy, with seventeen candidates vying under the state’s nonpartisan blanket system that advances the highest vote-getters to a ranked-choice general. Recent polling averages show Democrat Tom Begich leading with roughly 40-44 percent support, ahead of Republicans Click Bishop, Bernadette Wilson, and David Bronson in a crowded field that also includes independents like Bill Walker. Vote splitting among multiple Republicans appears to be the dominant factor shaping advancement odds, while early voting has begun and final candidate lists stabilized after the June withdrawal deadline. No major new endorsements or scandals have emerged in the final days to alter these patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp