FIFA has repeatedly affirmed that Iran remains on track for the 2026 World Cup in the United States, with the federation securing approval for a base-camp switch to Tijuana, Mexico, and scheduling direct talks in Zurich. The April proposal from a U.S. envoy to install Italy in Iran's place drew swift rejections from Italian officials, who called any shortcut humiliating and contrary to on-field qualification standards, while FIFA sources confirmed no plans exist to alter the Asian confederation allocation. This lack of concrete withdrawal signals or force-majeure triggers under tournament regulations underpins the overwhelming trader consensus behind no replacement. Only an unforeseen Iranian pullout—driven by sustained logistical or security concerns—could open the door for alternatives such as the UAE or another AFC side.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich team will replace Iran at World Cup?
Which team will replace Iran at World Cup?
No Replacement 96.8%
Other 1.3%
UAE 1.1%
Italy 1.0%
$59,283 KL.
$59,283 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
97%
Other
1%
UAE
1%
Italy
1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 96.8%
Other 1.3%
UAE 1.1%
Italy 1.0%
$59,283 KL.
$59,283 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
No Replacement
$18,105 KL.
97%
Other
$4,982 KL.
1%
UAE
$5,257 KL.
1%
Italy
$28,168 KL.
1%
Bolivia
$2,771 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA has repeatedly affirmed that Iran remains on track for the 2026 World Cup in the United States, with the federation securing approval for a base-camp switch to Tijuana, Mexico, and scheduling direct talks in Zurich. The April proposal from a U.S. envoy to install Italy in Iran's place drew swift rejections from Italian officials, who called any shortcut humiliating and contrary to on-field qualification standards, while FIFA sources confirmed no plans exist to alter the Asian confederation allocation. This lack of concrete withdrawal signals or force-majeure triggers under tournament regulations underpins the overwhelming trader consensus behind no replacement. Only an unforeseen Iranian pullout—driven by sustained logistical or security concerns—could open the door for alternatives such as the UAE or another AFC side.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Khối lượng
$59,283Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.FIFA has repeatedly affirmed that Iran remains on track for the 2026 World Cup in the United States, with the federation securing approval for a base-camp switch to Tijuana, Mexico, and scheduling direct talks in Zurich. The April proposal from a U.S. envoy to install Italy in Iran's place drew swift rejections from Italian officials, who called any shortcut humiliating and contrary to on-field qualification standards, while FIFA sources confirmed no plans exist to alter the Asian confederation allocation. This lack of concrete withdrawal signals or force-majeure triggers under tournament regulations underpins the overwhelming trader consensus behind no replacement. Only an unforeseen Iranian pullout—driven by sustained logistical or security concerns—could open the door for alternatives such as the UAE or another AFC side.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$59,283Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA has repeatedly affirmed that Iran remains on track for the 2026 World Cup in the United States, with the federation securing approval for a base-camp switch to Tijuana, Mexico, and scheduling direct talks in Zurich. The April proposal from a U.S. envoy to install Italy in Iran's place drew swift rejections from Italian officials, who called any shortcut humiliating and contrary to on-field qualification standards, while FIFA sources confirmed no plans exist to alter the Asian confederation allocation. This lack of concrete withdrawal signals or force-majeure triggers under tournament regulations underpins the overwhelming trader consensus behind no replacement. Only an unforeseen Iranian pullout—driven by sustained logistical or security concerns—could open the door for alternatives such as the UAE or another AFC side.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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