Recent polls show a tight race ahead of the October 27, 2026, Knesset election, with Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud trading narrow leads in the low 20s, followed by Naftali Bennett’s B’Yachad in the low teens. The Netanyahu-aligned right-religious bloc and the main Jewish opposition bloc each hover around 50–55 seats in most surveys, well short of the 61 needed for a majority, while Arab lists add roughly 12–15. The 3.25% threshold makes outcomes for smaller lists decisive; recent Channel 12 and Channel 14 surveys place the Hendel-Zelekha Reservists-Economic list at four seats while Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael remains below it in some readings. Surplus-vote agreements close October 16 and overseas voting begins October 20, keeping attention on turnout, bloc arithmetic, and any late shifts among undecided voters.