No formal announcements have occurred yet for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, leaving "Other" as the market leader at 50% amid ongoing positioning by governors and former officials. Andy Beshear leads listed contenders at 30% due to his reelection wins in Republican-leaning Kentucky and emphasis on moderate economic messaging that aligns with swing-state priorities. Gavin Newsom at 19.8% benefits from his high-profile California role and recent public exchanges with the Trump administration, while Pete Buttigieg at 17.5% draws from prior primary experience and cabinet tenure. Kamala Harris at 13% reflects lingering name recognition post-2024 but tempered by that cycle's outcome. The party's recent approval of a South Carolina-first primary calendar has shifted early focus toward broader geographic and demographic outreach, though no candidate has committed to an announcement timeline. Trader pricing captures these early signals without confirmed declarations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAndy Beshear 30%
Gavin Newsom 19.8%
Pete Buttigieg 18%
Kamala Harris 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2028
Andy Beshear
30%
Gavin Newsom
20%
Pete Buttigieg
17%
Kamala Harris
13%
Ro Khanna
9%
Rahm Emanuel
8%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Stephen A. Smith
3%
Jon Ossoff
1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
1%
Jon Stewart
<1%
Andy Beshear 30%
Gavin Newsom 19.8%
Pete Buttigieg 18%
Kamala Harris 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2028
Andy Beshear
$1,903 KL.
30%
Gavin Newsom
$2,775 KL.
20%
Pete Buttigieg
$603 KL.
17%
Kamala Harris
$504 KL.
13%
Ro Khanna
$463 KL.
9%
Rahm Emanuel
$592 KL.
8%
Josh Shapiro
$306 KL.
4%
Stephen A. Smith
$300 KL.
3%
Jon Ossoff
$306 KL.
1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$391 KL.
1%
Jon Stewart
$364 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No formal announcements have occurred yet for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, leaving "Other" as the market leader at 50% amid ongoing positioning by governors and former officials. Andy Beshear leads listed contenders at 30% due to his reelection wins in Republican-leaning Kentucky and emphasis on moderate economic messaging that aligns with swing-state priorities. Gavin Newsom at 19.8% benefits from his high-profile California role and recent public exchanges with the Trump administration, while Pete Buttigieg at 17.5% draws from prior primary experience and cabinet tenure. Kamala Harris at 13% reflects lingering name recognition post-2024 but tempered by that cycle's outcome. The party's recent approval of a South Carolina-first primary calendar has shifted early focus toward broader geographic and demographic outreach, though no candidate has committed to an announcement timeline. Trader pricing captures these early signals without confirmed declarations.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,508Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No formal announcements have occurred yet for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, leaving "Other" as the market leader at 50% amid ongoing positioning by governors and former officials. Andy Beshear leads listed contenders at 30% due to his reelection wins in Republican-leaning Kentucky and emphasis on moderate economic messaging that aligns with swing-state priorities. Gavin Newsom at 19.8% benefits from his high-profile California role and recent public exchanges with the Trump administration, while Pete Buttigieg at 17.5% draws from prior primary experience and cabinet tenure. Kamala Harris at 13% reflects lingering name recognition post-2024 but tempered by that cycle's outcome. The party's recent approval of a South Carolina-first primary calendar has shifted early focus toward broader geographic and demographic outreach, though no candidate has committed to an announcement timeline. Trader pricing captures these early signals without confirmed declarations.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$8,508Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...No formal announcements have occurred yet for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, leaving "Other" as the market leader at 50% amid ongoing positioning by governors and former officials. Andy Beshear leads listed contenders at 30% due to his reelection wins in Republican-leaning Kentucky and emphasis on moderate economic messaging that aligns with swing-state priorities. Gavin Newsom at 19.8% benefits from his high-profile California role and recent public exchanges with the Trump administration, while Pete Buttigieg at 17.5% draws from prior primary experience and cabinet tenure. Kamala Harris at 13% reflects lingering name recognition post-2024 but tempered by that cycle's outcome. The party's recent approval of a South Carolina-first primary calendar has shifted early focus toward broader geographic and demographic outreach, though no candidate has committed to an announcement timeline. Trader pricing captures these early signals without confirmed declarations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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