Amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis and fragile US-Iran ceasefire, naval positioning by multiple nations has centered on securing the vital energy transit route that handles roughly 20% of global oil flows. The US Navy has conducted repeated transits and guided commercial vessels through the strait in recent weeks, while the UK deployed HMS Dragon and France advanced its Charles de Gaulle carrier group toward the region as part of joint planning for defensive escort operations. Germany, Italy, and other European allies contributed minesweepers and frigates to a multinational flotilla, reflecting coordinated efforts to stabilize shipping lanes amid elevated geopolitical risk. These developments tie directly to broader market dynamics in crude benchmarks, tanker rates, and insurance premiums, with resolution timelines hinging on final diplomatic milestones before the May 31 cutoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
$1,551,481 KL.
May 31, 2026
United Kingdom
No
France
No
Germany
No
Italy
No
Netherlands
No
Japan
No
Canada
No
India
No
Greece
No
Pakistan
No
United States
Yes
Saudi Arabia
No
UAE
No
Bahrain
No
Qatar
No
Kuwait
No
Oman
No
South Korea
No
Australia
No
$1,551,481 KL.
United Kingdom
$222,605 KL.
No
France
$139,172 KL.
No
Germany
$288,509 KL.
No
Italy
$154,420 KL.
No
Netherlands
$72,168 KL.
No
Japan
$194,440 KL.
No
Canada
$25,365 KL.
No
India
$20,529 KL.
No
Greece
$27,067 KL.
No
Pakistan
$22,566 KL.
No
United States
$75,643 KL.
Yes
Saudi Arabia
$26,589 KL.
No
UAE
$8,332 KL.
No
Bahrain
$30,782 KL.
No
Qatar
$8,317 KL.
No
Kuwait
$7,764 KL.
No
Oman
$30,665 KL.
No
South Korea
$106,152 KL.
No
Australia
$90,395 KL.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis and fragile US-Iran ceasefire, naval positioning by multiple nations has centered on securing the vital energy transit route that handles roughly 20% of global oil flows. The US Navy has conducted repeated transits and guided commercial vessels through the strait in recent weeks, while the UK deployed HMS Dragon and France advanced its Charles de Gaulle carrier group toward the region as part of joint planning for defensive escort operations. Germany, Italy, and other European allies contributed minesweepers and frigates to a multinational flotilla, reflecting coordinated efforts to stabilize shipping lanes amid elevated geopolitical risk. These developments tie directly to broader market dynamics in crude benchmarks, tanker rates, and insurance premiums, with resolution timelines hinging on final diplomatic milestones before the May 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Thị trường mở: May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,551,481Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis and fragile US-Iran ceasefire, naval positioning by multiple nations has centered on securing the vital energy transit route that handles roughly 20% of global oil flows. The US Navy has conducted repeated transits and guided commercial vessels through the strait in recent weeks, while the UK deployed HMS Dragon and France advanced its Charles de Gaulle carrier group toward the region as part of joint planning for defensive escort operations. Germany, Italy, and other European allies contributed minesweepers and frigates to a multinational flotilla, reflecting coordinated efforts to stabilize shipping lanes amid elevated geopolitical risk. These developments tie directly to broader market dynamics in crude benchmarks, tanker rates, and insurance premiums, with resolution timelines hinging on final diplomatic milestones before the May 31 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a national government, its military, or a broad consensus of credible reporting confirms that the listed country's warships transited through the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
A "warship transit" is defined as a military vessel passing through the Strait of Hormuz. Military cargo or support vessels will be considered “warships”; however, commercial or civilian vessels will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, only transits through the Strait of Hormuz will be considered, defined as passage through the narrowest portion of the waterway between Iran and Oman. Operations solely in the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea without passage through this narrowest section will not qualify.
Official confirmation by a national government or its military that its vessels transited through the Strait of Hormuz during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately. An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such a transit occurred during the specified timeframe will also suffice.
Qualifying confirmations include statements such as official announcements that a country has deployed naval vessels to transit or escort shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.
Confirmations referring only to naval presence in the broader region, including the Persian Gulf, Gulf of Oman, or Arabian Sea, without confirmed transit through the Strait itself, as well as aerial operations, cyber operations, or actions by proxies or third parties, will not alone qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information by the respective national governments or their militaries; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Khối lượng
$1,551,481Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 5, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Amid the ongoing 2026 Strait of Hormuz crisis and fragile US-Iran ceasefire, naval positioning by multiple nations has centered on securing the vital energy transit route that handles roughly 20% of global oil flows. The US Navy has conducted repeated transits and guided commercial vessels through the strait in recent weeks, while the UK deployed HMS Dragon and France advanced its Charles de Gaulle carrier group toward the region as part of joint planning for defensive escort operations. Germany, Italy, and other European allies contributed minesweepers and frigates to a multinational flotilla, reflecting coordinated efforts to stabilize shipping lanes amid elevated geopolitical risk. These developments tie directly to broader market dynamics in crude benchmarks, tanker rates, and insurance premiums, with resolution timelines hinging on final diplomatic milestones before the May 31 cutoff.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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