US and Israeli forces initiated major airstrikes against Iranian military and nuclear sites on February 28, 2026, sparking the ongoing conflict that defines trader consensus on additional countries joining by April 30. No new coalition partners like UAE or Saudi Arabia conducted verifiable strikes amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire from early April and stalled nuclear talks in Islamabad. Late April developments, including US Central Command's April 30 briefing to President Trump on fresh strike options for Strait of Hormuz infrastructure and Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz's warning of imminent resumption, heightened tensions without prompting broader involvement. The US War Powers Resolution 60-day clock expired May 1, pressuring congressional authorization amid Hormuz blockade disputes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtQuốc gia nào sẽ tiến hành hành động quân sự chống lại Iran trước ngày 30 tháng 4?
Quốc gia nào sẽ tiến hành hành động quân sự chống lại Iran trước ngày 30 tháng 4?
$3,651,056 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
Anh
Không
Jordan
Không
Canada
Không
Qatar
Không
Ả Rập Xê Út
Không
Kuwait
Không
UAE
Không
Pháp
Không
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
Không
Đức
Không
Bahrain
Không
Oman
Không
Bất kỳ quốc gia nào trong Liên minh châu Âu
Không
$3,651,056 KL.
Anh
$280,515 KL.
Không
Jordan
$34,668 KL.
Không
Canada
$46,477 KL.
Không
Qatar
$56,438 KL.
Không
Ả Rập Xê Út
$604,280 KL.
Không
Kuwait
$168,726 KL.
Không
UAE
$1,848,712 KL.
Không
Pháp
$211,561 KL.
Không
Thổ Nhĩ Kỳ
$88,956 KL.
Không
Đức
$133,140 KL.
Không
Bahrain
$57,368 KL.
Không
Oman
$33,086 KL.
Không
Bất kỳ quốc gia nào trong Liên minh châu Âu
$87,130 KL.
Không
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces initiated major airstrikes against Iranian military and nuclear sites on February 28, 2026, sparking the ongoing conflict that defines trader consensus on additional countries joining by April 30. No new coalition partners like UAE or Saudi Arabia conducted verifiable strikes amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire from early April and stalled nuclear talks in Islamabad. Late April developments, including US Central Command's April 30 briefing to President Trump on fresh strike options for Strait of Hormuz infrastructure and Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz's warning of imminent resumption, heightened tensions without prompting broader involvement. The US War Powers Resolution 60-day clock expired May 1, pressuring congressional authorization amid Hormuz blockade disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,651,056Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Không
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Không
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US and Israeli forces initiated major airstrikes against Iranian military and nuclear sites on February 28, 2026, sparking the ongoing conflict that defines trader consensus on additional countries joining by April 30. No new coalition partners like UAE or Saudi Arabia conducted verifiable strikes amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire from early April and stalled nuclear talks in Islamabad. Late April developments, including US Central Command's April 30 briefing to President Trump on fresh strike options for Strait of Hormuz infrastructure and Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz's warning of imminent resumption, heightened tensions without prompting broader involvement. The US War Powers Resolution 60-day clock expired May 1, pressuring congressional authorization amid Hormuz blockade disputes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$3,651,056Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Không
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Không
US and Israeli forces initiated major airstrikes against Iranian military and nuclear sites on February 28, 2026, sparking the ongoing conflict that defines trader consensus on additional countries joining by April 30. No new coalition partners like UAE or Saudi Arabia conducted verifiable strikes amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire from early April and stalled nuclear talks in Islamabad. Late April developments, including US Central Command's April 30 briefing to President Trump on fresh strike options for Strait of Hormuz infrastructure and Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz's warning of imminent resumption, heightened tensions without prompting broader involvement. The US War Powers Resolution 60-day clock expired May 1, pressuring congressional authorization amid Hormuz blockade disputes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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