Google's Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash models lead text-to-video generation through superior prompt adherence, native audio, 4K support, and seamless integration into tools like Google Flow and Vids, reinforced by iterative 2026 updates including scene extension and conversational editing in Gemini Omni 1.1 Flash. These capabilities, backed by strong arena benchmarks and high real-world usage, underpin the 64.5% market-implied odds. ByteDance's Seedance variants remain competitive for longer clips and character consistency at 11.5%, while Alibaba and Kling models show strength in specific benchmarks. OpenAI's Sora discontinuation in April 2026, with its API retiring later this month, explains the 0.1% odds amid a shift toward accessible, production-ready systems from leading labs ahead of the October resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGoogle 65%
ByteDance 12%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 3.3%
Meta 1.4%
$37,462 KL.
$37,462 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
65%
ByteDance
12%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
3%
Meta
1%
Pixverse
1%
Tencent
1%
KlingAI
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Runway
<1%
Pruna
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Kandinsky
<1%
Lightricks
<1%
Pika
<1%
Genmo AI
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Google 65%
ByteDance 12%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 3.3%
Meta 1.4%
$37,462 KL.
$37,462 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
$25,229 KL.
65%
ByteDance
$5,091 KL.
12%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$777 KL.
3%
Meta
$507 KL.
1%
Pixverse
$431 KL.
1%
Tencent
$466 KL.
1%
KlingAI
$583 KL.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$499 KL.
<1%
Runway
$423 KL.
<1%
Pruna
$356 KL.
<1%
Luma AI
$514 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$426 KL.
<1%
Kandinsky
$431 KL.
<1%
Lightricks
$432 KL.
<1%
Pika
$475 KL.
<1%
Genmo AI
$448 KL.
<1%
OpenAI
$373 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash models lead text-to-video generation through superior prompt adherence, native audio, 4K support, and seamless integration into tools like Google Flow and Vids, reinforced by iterative 2026 updates including scene extension and conversational editing in Gemini Omni 1.1 Flash. These capabilities, backed by strong arena benchmarks and high real-world usage, underpin the 64.5% market-implied odds. ByteDance's Seedance variants remain competitive for longer clips and character consistency at 11.5%, while Alibaba and Kling models show strength in specific benchmarks. OpenAI's Sora discontinuation in April 2026, with its API retiring later this month, explains the 0.1% odds amid a shift toward accessible, production-ready systems from leading labs ahead of the October resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$37,462Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash models lead text-to-video generation through superior prompt adherence, native audio, 4K support, and seamless integration into tools like Google Flow and Vids, reinforced by iterative 2026 updates including scene extension and conversational editing in Gemini Omni 1.1 Flash. These capabilities, backed by strong arena benchmarks and high real-world usage, underpin the 64.5% market-implied odds. ByteDance's Seedance variants remain competitive for longer clips and character consistency at 11.5%, while Alibaba and Kling models show strength in specific benchmarks. OpenAI's Sora discontinuation in April 2026, with its API retiring later this month, explains the 0.1% odds amid a shift toward accessible, production-ready systems from leading labs ahead of the October resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$37,462Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Google's Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash models lead text-to-video generation through superior prompt adherence, native audio, 4K support, and seamless integration into tools like Google Flow and Vids, reinforced by iterative 2026 updates including scene extension and conversational editing in Gemini Omni 1.1 Flash. These capabilities, backed by strong arena benchmarks and high real-world usage, underpin the 64.5% market-implied odds. ByteDance's Seedance variants remain competitive for longer clips and character consistency at 11.5%, while Alibaba and Kling models show strength in specific benchmarks. OpenAI's Sora discontinuation in April 2026, with its API retiring later this month, explains the 0.1% odds amid a shift toward accessible, production-ready systems from leading labs ahead of the October resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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