Google's Veo 3.1 and related Gemini Omni Flash models anchor the 69% market-implied odds through native 48kHz synchronized dialogue, strong prompt adherence, and physics-aware motion that deliver polished cinematic output unavailable at scale from competitors. Recent Artificial Analysis leaderboard dominance, plus platform integration for vertical formats and audio-video alignment, reinforce this edge over ByteDance's Seedance 2.5, which excels in multi-reference editing and longer clips but trails in consistent lip-sync and usability. Other entrants such as MiniMax, Kling, and Luma remain priced near 50% or lower because their strengths in raw motion or cost have not yet closed the gap in end-to-end quality benchmarks ahead of the August resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGoogle 69%
ByteDance 25.6%
MiniMax <1%
Meta <1%
$27,350 KL.
$27,350 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
69%
ByteDance
33%
MiniMax
1%
Meta
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
Kandinsky
<1%
Tencent
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
Lightricks
<1%
Genmo AI
<1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Pixverse
<1%
Runway
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Pruna
<1%
Pika
<1%
Google 69%
ByteDance 25.6%
MiniMax <1%
Meta <1%
$27,350 KL.
$27,350 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
$10,233 KL.
69%
ByteDance
$5,423 KL.
33%
MiniMax
$1,144 KL.
1%
Meta
$940 KL.
<1%
Luma AI
$708 KL.
<1%
Kandinsky
$568 KL.
<1%
Tencent
$806 KL.
<1%
OpenAI
$638 KL.
<1%
Lightricks
$888 KL.
<1%
Genmo AI
$2,217 KL.
<1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$525 KL.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$560 KL.
<1%
Pixverse
$578 KL.
<1%
Runway
$525 KL.
<1%
KlingAI
$506 KL.
<1%
Pruna
$534 KL.
<1%
Pika
$557 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 and related Gemini Omni Flash models anchor the 69% market-implied odds through native 48kHz synchronized dialogue, strong prompt adherence, and physics-aware motion that deliver polished cinematic output unavailable at scale from competitors. Recent Artificial Analysis leaderboard dominance, plus platform integration for vertical formats and audio-video alignment, reinforce this edge over ByteDance's Seedance 2.5, which excels in multi-reference editing and longer clips but trails in consistent lip-sync and usability. Other entrants such as MiniMax, Kling, and Luma remain priced near 50% or lower because their strengths in raw motion or cost have not yet closed the gap in end-to-end quality benchmarks ahead of the August resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ET
Khối lượng
$27,350Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-videoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 and related Gemini Omni Flash models anchor the 69% market-implied odds through native 48kHz synchronized dialogue, strong prompt adherence, and physics-aware motion that deliver polished cinematic output unavailable at scale from competitors. Recent Artificial Analysis leaderboard dominance, plus platform integration for vertical formats and audio-video alignment, reinforce this edge over ByteDance's Seedance 2.5, which excels in multi-reference editing and longer clips but trails in consistent lip-sync and usability. Other entrants such as MiniMax, Kling, and Luma remain priced near 50% or lower because their strengths in raw motion or cost have not yet closed the gap in end-to-end quality benchmarks ahead of the August resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$27,350Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 16, 2026, 11:15 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-videoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Veo 3.1 and related Gemini Omni Flash models anchor the 69% market-implied odds through native 48kHz synchronized dialogue, strong prompt adherence, and physics-aware motion that deliver polished cinematic output unavailable at scale from competitors. Recent Artificial Analysis leaderboard dominance, plus platform integration for vertical formats and audio-video alignment, reinforce this edge over ByteDance's Seedance 2.5, which excels in multi-reference editing and longer clips but trails in consistent lip-sync and usability. Other entrants such as MiniMax, Kling, and Luma remain priced near 50% or lower because their strengths in raw motion or cost have not yet closed the gap in end-to-end quality benchmarks ahead of the August resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp