OpenAI’s GPT Image 2 model, released in April 2026 with native reasoning, near-perfect multilingual text rendering, and leading arena Elo scores, drives the 89.5% implied probability it will hold the top text-to-image position by end of October. The update’s strong instruction following, multi-image consistency, and photorealism benchmarks have created a decisive lead over Google’s Nano Banana 2 and other contenders on public leaderboards. Lower odds for Ideogram, Recraft, Black Forest Labs’ FLUX, and others reflect their narrower strengths in typography or open weights without matching overall capability gains. With resolution just weeks away and no comparable announcements from rivals, trader consensus centers on OpenAI’s integration advantages and recent performance edge.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOpenAI 90%
Microsoft AI 4.3%
Ideogram 3.7%
Black Forest Labs 3.0%
$20,899 KL.
$20,899 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
90%
Microsoft AI
4%
Ideogram
4%
Black Forest Labs
3%
Recraft
3%
Tencent
3%
SpaceXAI
2%
ByteDance
2%
Luma AI
2%
Meta
2%
Alibaba
2%
Reve
1%
1%
OpenAI 90%
Microsoft AI 4.3%
Ideogram 3.7%
Black Forest Labs 3.0%
$20,899 KL.
$20,899 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$17,905 KL.
90%
Microsoft AI
$548 KL.
4%
Ideogram
$204 KL.
4%
Black Forest Labs
$223 KL.
3%
Recraft
$252 KL.
3%
Tencent
$336 KL.
3%
SpaceXAI
$194 KL.
2%
ByteDance
$194 KL.
2%
Luma AI
$194 KL.
2%
Meta
$194 KL.
2%
Alibaba
$209 KL.
2%
Reve
$209 KL.
1%
$235 KL.
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s GPT Image 2 model, released in April 2026 with native reasoning, near-perfect multilingual text rendering, and leading arena Elo scores, drives the 89.5% implied probability it will hold the top text-to-image position by end of October. The update’s strong instruction following, multi-image consistency, and photorealism benchmarks have created a decisive lead over Google’s Nano Banana 2 and other contenders on public leaderboards. Lower odds for Ideogram, Recraft, Black Forest Labs’ FLUX, and others reflect their narrower strengths in typography or open weights without matching overall capability gains. With resolution just weeks away and no comparable announcements from rivals, trader consensus centers on OpenAI’s integration advantages and recent performance edge.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,899Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s GPT Image 2 model, released in April 2026 with native reasoning, near-perfect multilingual text rendering, and leading arena Elo scores, drives the 89.5% implied probability it will hold the top text-to-image position by end of October. The update’s strong instruction following, multi-image consistency, and photorealism benchmarks have created a decisive lead over Google’s Nano Banana 2 and other contenders on public leaderboards. Lower odds for Ideogram, Recraft, Black Forest Labs’ FLUX, and others reflect their narrower strengths in typography or open weights without matching overall capability gains. With resolution just weeks away and no comparable announcements from rivals, trader consensus centers on OpenAI’s integration advantages and recent performance edge.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$20,899Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s GPT Image 2 model, released in April 2026 with native reasoning, near-perfect multilingual text rendering, and leading arena Elo scores, drives the 89.5% implied probability it will hold the top text-to-image position by end of October. The update’s strong instruction following, multi-image consistency, and photorealism benchmarks have created a decisive lead over Google’s Nano Banana 2 and other contenders on public leaderboards. Lower odds for Ideogram, Recraft, Black Forest Labs’ FLUX, and others reflect their narrower strengths in typography or open weights without matching overall capability gains. With resolution just weeks away and no comparable announcements from rivals, trader consensus centers on OpenAI’s integration advantages and recent performance edge.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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