Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the Text Arena math subcategory with leading Elo-style scores around 1543, driving the 93% market-implied odds through consistent outperformance in user-voted comparisons on complex reasoning, problem-solving, and STEM prompts. Its edge stems from recent frontier releases emphasizing long-horizon agentic math workflows and strong results on related benchmarks like Humanity's Last Exam. With end-of-August resolution approaching, trader consensus reflects limited room for major leaderboard shifts absent immediate competitor updates. A surprise model drop from OpenAI's GPT-5.6 line or Google that quickly gains arena votes could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such rapid reversals remain unlikely before the deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic 93%
OpenAI 5.3%
Google 1.4%
Alibaba <1%
$86,103 KL.
$86,103 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
93%
OpenAI
5%
1%
Alibaba
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meta
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 93%
OpenAI 5.3%
Google 1.4%
Alibaba <1%
$86,103 KL.
$86,103 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
$29,094 KL.
93%
OpenAI
$11,277 KL.
5%
$17,768 KL.
1%
Alibaba
$8,793 KL.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$2,690 KL.
<1%
Baidu
$4,432 KL.
<1%
Z.ai
$3,148 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$372 KL.
<1%
Moonshot
$372 KL.
<1%
Meta
$494 KL.
<1%
Nvidia
$1,079 KL.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,125 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,122 KL.
<1%
Meituan
$553 KL.
<1%
Amazon
$451 KL.
<1%
Bytedance
$495 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$372 KL.
<1%
Tencent
$564 KL.
<1%
StepFun
$531 KL.
<1%
Microsoft
$372 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the Text Arena math subcategory with leading Elo-style scores around 1543, driving the 93% market-implied odds through consistent outperformance in user-voted comparisons on complex reasoning, problem-solving, and STEM prompts. Its edge stems from recent frontier releases emphasizing long-horizon agentic math workflows and strong results on related benchmarks like Humanity's Last Exam. With end-of-August resolution approaching, trader consensus reflects limited room for major leaderboard shifts absent immediate competitor updates. A surprise model drop from OpenAI's GPT-5.6 line or Google that quickly gains arena votes could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such rapid reversals remain unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ET
Khối lượng
$86,103Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the Text Arena math subcategory with leading Elo-style scores around 1543, driving the 93% market-implied odds through consistent outperformance in user-voted comparisons on complex reasoning, problem-solving, and STEM prompts. Its edge stems from recent frontier releases emphasizing long-horizon agentic math workflows and strong results on related benchmarks like Humanity's Last Exam. With end-of-August resolution approaching, trader consensus reflects limited room for major leaderboard shifts absent immediate competitor updates. A surprise model drop from OpenAI's GPT-5.6 line or Google that quickly gains arena votes could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such rapid reversals remain unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$86,103Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the Text Arena math subcategory with leading Elo-style scores around 1543, driving the 93% market-implied odds through consistent outperformance in user-voted comparisons on complex reasoning, problem-solving, and STEM prompts. Its edge stems from recent frontier releases emphasizing long-horizon agentic math workflows and strong results on related benchmarks like Humanity's Last Exam. With end-of-August resolution approaching, trader consensus reflects limited room for major leaderboard shifts absent immediate competitor updates. A surprise model drop from OpenAI's GPT-5.6 line or Google that quickly gains arena votes could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such rapid reversals remain unlikely before the deadline.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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