OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra has driven its 64.3% market-implied odds as the leader on Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard, where the model currently holds the top spot at 1,797 points in the community-driven Elo-style ranking for agentic frontend coding tasks. The September 3 release outperformed Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 by 35 points on crowdsourced evaluations of multi-step web development workflows, reflecting strong trader consensus around demonstrated capabilities in iterative coding and tool use. Earlier shifts, including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-Max briefly leading with preliminary scores near 1,691, illustrate how quickly new fine-tunes or releases can alter standings. With roughly seven weeks until the October resolution, upcoming model updates or expanded voting on the arena.ai platform remain key swing factors that could narrow OpenAI’s edge or elevate competitors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOpenAI 64.3%
Anthropic 23%
Alibaba 5.1%
Google 2.6%
$64,873 KL.
$64,873 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
64%
Anthropic
23%
Alibaba
5%
3%
Moonshot
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Z.ai
1%
Tencent
1%
Meta
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Poolside
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
OpenAI 64.3%
Anthropic 23%
Alibaba 5.1%
Google 2.6%
$64,873 KL.
$64,873 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$2,895 KL.
64%
Anthropic
$49,089 KL.
23%
Alibaba
$1,988 KL.
5%
$1,628 KL.
3%
Moonshot
$1,701 KL.
1%
SpaceXAI
$806 KL.
1%
Z.ai
$779 KL.
1%
Tencent
$771 KL.
1%
Meta
$777 KL.
<1%
ByteDance
$653 KL.
<1%
Thinky
$819 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$668 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$639 KL.
<1%
Poolside
$677 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$387 KL.
<1%
DeepSeek
$596 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra has driven its 64.3% market-implied odds as the leader on Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard, where the model currently holds the top spot at 1,797 points in the community-driven Elo-style ranking for agentic frontend coding tasks. The September 3 release outperformed Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 by 35 points on crowdsourced evaluations of multi-step web development workflows, reflecting strong trader consensus around demonstrated capabilities in iterative coding and tool use. Earlier shifts, including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-Max briefly leading with preliminary scores near 1,691, illustrate how quickly new fine-tunes or releases can alter standings. With roughly seven weeks until the October resolution, upcoming model updates or expanded voting on the arena.ai platform remain key swing factors that could narrow OpenAI’s edge or elevate competitors.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$64,873Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra has driven its 64.3% market-implied odds as the leader on Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard, where the model currently holds the top spot at 1,797 points in the community-driven Elo-style ranking for agentic frontend coding tasks. The September 3 release outperformed Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 by 35 points on crowdsourced evaluations of multi-step web development workflows, reflecting strong trader consensus around demonstrated capabilities in iterative coding and tool use. Earlier shifts, including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-Max briefly leading with preliminary scores near 1,691, illustrate how quickly new fine-tunes or releases can alter standings. With roughly seven weeks until the October resolution, upcoming model updates or expanded voting on the arena.ai platform remain key swing factors that could narrow OpenAI’s edge or elevate competitors.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$64,873Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s recent launch of GPT-6 Astra has driven its 64.3% market-implied odds as the leader on Code Arena’s WebDev leaderboard, where the model currently holds the top spot at 1,797 points in the community-driven Elo-style ranking for agentic frontend coding tasks. The September 3 release outperformed Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 by 35 points on crowdsourced evaluations of multi-step web development workflows, reflecting strong trader consensus around demonstrated capabilities in iterative coding and tool use. Earlier shifts, including Alibaba’s Qwen3.8-Max briefly leading with preliminary scores near 1,691, illustrate how quickly new fine-tunes or releases can alter standings. With roughly seven weeks until the October resolution, upcoming model updates or expanded voting on the arena.ai platform remain key swing factors that could narrow OpenAI’s edge or elevate competitors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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