Anthropic leads market-implied odds at 64% for the top LiveBench Mathematics model by end of October due to strong recent performance from its Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable 5 series on reasoning and math tasks, where these models have posted competitive or leading scores on contamination-resistant benchmarks. OpenAI sits at 35.5% amid solid but trailing results from o3-mini, o4 variants, and GPT-5.x releases on overall LiveBench and math subsets. Google trails sharply at 2.5% while numerous other labs cluster near 50% or lower, reflecting limited recent breakthroughs or lower expected updates before the snapshot. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s demonstrated edge in mathematical problem-solving against the possibility of new model drops shifting the leaderboard in the remaining weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtAnthropic 64%
OpenAI 36%
Google 2.4%
DeepSeek <1%
$21,715 KL.
$21,715 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
64%
OpenAI
36%
2%
DeepSeek
1%
Amazon
1%
ByteDance
1%
Thinky
1%
MiniMax
1%
StepFun
1%
Microsoft
1%
Alibaba
1%
Mistral
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Meta
1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Anthropic 64%
OpenAI 36%
Google 2.4%
DeepSeek <1%
$21,715 KL.
$21,715 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$5,402 KL.
64%
OpenAI
$6,460 KL.
36%
$1,503 KL.
2%
DeepSeek
$479 KL.
1%
Amazon
$586 KL.
1%
ByteDance
$454 KL.
1%
Thinky
$562 KL.
1%
MiniMax
$488 KL.
1%
StepFun
$459 KL.
1%
Microsoft
$509 KL.
1%
Alibaba
$475 KL.
1%
Mistral
$518 KL.
1%
SpaceXAI
$523 KL.
1%
Meta
$501 KL.
1%
Moonshot
$286 KL.
<1%
Baidu
$390 KL.
<1%
Z.ai
$858 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$253 KL.
<1%
Nvidia
$386 KL.
<1%
Meituan
$283 KL.
<1%
Tencent
$339 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic leads market-implied odds at 64% for the top LiveBench Mathematics model by end of October due to strong recent performance from its Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable 5 series on reasoning and math tasks, where these models have posted competitive or leading scores on contamination-resistant benchmarks. OpenAI sits at 35.5% amid solid but trailing results from o3-mini, o4 variants, and GPT-5.x releases on overall LiveBench and math subsets. Google trails sharply at 2.5% while numerous other labs cluster near 50% or lower, reflecting limited recent breakthroughs or lower expected updates before the snapshot. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s demonstrated edge in mathematical problem-solving against the possibility of new model drops shifting the leaderboard in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$21,715Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic leads market-implied odds at 64% for the top LiveBench Mathematics model by end of October due to strong recent performance from its Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable 5 series on reasoning and math tasks, where these models have posted competitive or leading scores on contamination-resistant benchmarks. OpenAI sits at 35.5% amid solid but trailing results from o3-mini, o4 variants, and GPT-5.x releases on overall LiveBench and math subsets. Google trails sharply at 2.5% while numerous other labs cluster near 50% or lower, reflecting limited recent breakthroughs or lower expected updates before the snapshot. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s demonstrated edge in mathematical problem-solving against the possibility of new model drops shifting the leaderboard in the remaining weeks.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Khối lượng
$21,715Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads market-implied odds at 64% for the top LiveBench Mathematics model by end of October due to strong recent performance from its Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable 5 series on reasoning and math tasks, where these models have posted competitive or leading scores on contamination-resistant benchmarks. OpenAI sits at 35.5% amid solid but trailing results from o3-mini, o4 variants, and GPT-5.x releases on overall LiveBench and math subsets. Google trails sharply at 2.5% while numerous other labs cluster near 50% or lower, reflecting limited recent breakthroughs or lower expected updates before the snapshot. Traders appear to weigh Anthropic’s demonstrated edge in mathematical problem-solving against the possibility of new model drops shifting the leaderboard in the remaining weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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