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Where will it snow first?

icon for Where will it snow first?

Where will it snow first?

Detroit 100.0%

Chicago <1%

New York City <1%

St. Louis <1%

Polymarket

$74,312 KL.

Detroit 100.0%

Chicago <1%

New York City <1%

St. Louis <1%

Polymarket

$74,312 KL.

Chicago

$21,829 KL.

No

Detroit

$24,386 KL.

Yes

New York City

$10,268 KL.

No

St. Louis

$17,828 KL.

No

This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS). This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported. If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).

This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS).

This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported.

If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).
Khối lượng
$74,312
Ngày kết thúc
May 1, 2026
Thị trường mở
Nov 21, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS). This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported. If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).

Kết quả đề xuất: No

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: No

This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS). This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported. If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).

This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS).

This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported.

If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.

If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).
Khối lượng
$74,312
Ngày kết thúc
May 1, 2026
Thị trường mở
Nov 21, 2025, 2:07 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first listed city that records a daily snowfall of at least 0.1 inches, as recorded by the National Weather Service (NWS). This market will use a daily timeframe. If two or more cities record a snowfall of at least 0.1 inches on the same day, they will be treated as tied, regardless of when the snowfall occurred or was reported. If two or more cities tie for the first snowfall day, this market will resolve according to the city with the highest snowfall on that day. If two or more tied cities also record the same amount of snowfall, this market will resolve according to the city whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities during this market’s timeframe, this market will remain open until the first qualifying snowfall in any listed city is recorded. If no qualifying snowfall occurs in any of these cities by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the National Weather Service, specifically the figure for "SNOWFALL (IN)" when "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" is selected under "Observed Weather" after navigating to the relevant city & location from https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate. The relevant National Weather Service locations for this market will be Central Park (New York City), Detroit, MI (Detroit), Chicago O’Hare (Chicago), and St. Louis, MO (St. Louis).

Kết quả đề xuất: No

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: No

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Where will it snow first?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 4 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Detroit" ở mức 100%, tiếp theo là "Chicago" ở mức 0%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 100¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Where will it snow first?" đã tạo $74.3K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Nov 21, 2025. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Where will it snow first?," duyệt 4 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Where will it snow first?" là "Detroit" ở mức 100%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Chicago" ở mức 0%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Where will it snow first?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.