**Strong summer momentum from Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-chasing domestic run and The Odyssey’s sustained performance has anchored trader consensus around a mid-tier finish for 2026.** With the superhero sequel approaching or surpassing the all-time single-film domestic mark near $936 million and contributing to a summer total nearing historical highs, the year has posted consistent weekly grosses that outpace recent post-pandemic benchmarks. Multiple other releases, including Toy Story 5 and additional tentpoles, have added breadth, yet the overall haul remains below the peaks of the strongest prior years. This dynamic supports the 53.5% implied probability on a 10th–12th ranking, while the 24% chance of 6th or higher reflects upside if late-quarter holdovers and holiday titles exceed expectations. Upcoming chart updates and final-quarter tracking will serve as key swing factors for these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhere will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
10th-12th 54%
6th or higher 24%
7th-9th 11%
Below 15th 5.9%
$11,549 KL.
$11,549 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
6th or higher
24%
7th-9th
11%
10th-12th
54%
13th-15th
4%
Below 15th
6%
10th-12th 54%
6th or higher 24%
7th-9th 11%
Below 15th 5.9%
$11,549 KL.
$11,549 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
6th or higher
$6,285 KL.
24%
7th-9th
$1,141 KL.
11%
10th-12th
$3,468 KL.
54%
13th-15th
$329 KL.
4%
Below 15th
$326 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong summer momentum from Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-chasing domestic run and The Odyssey’s sustained performance has anchored trader consensus around a mid-tier finish for 2026.** With the superhero sequel approaching or surpassing the all-time single-film domestic mark near $936 million and contributing to a summer total nearing historical highs, the year has posted consistent weekly grosses that outpace recent post-pandemic benchmarks. Multiple other releases, including Toy Story 5 and additional tentpoles, have added breadth, yet the overall haul remains below the peaks of the strongest prior years. This dynamic supports the 53.5% implied probability on a 10th–12th ranking, while the 24% chance of 6th or higher reflects upside if late-quarter holdovers and holiday titles exceed expectations. Upcoming chart updates and final-quarter tracking will serve as key swing factors for these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$11,549Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong summer momentum from Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-chasing domestic run and The Odyssey’s sustained performance has anchored trader consensus around a mid-tier finish for 2026.** With the superhero sequel approaching or surpassing the all-time single-film domestic mark near $936 million and contributing to a summer total nearing historical highs, the year has posted consistent weekly grosses that outpace recent post-pandemic benchmarks. Multiple other releases, including Toy Story 5 and additional tentpoles, have added breadth, yet the overall haul remains below the peaks of the strongest prior years. This dynamic supports the 53.5% implied probability on a 10th–12th ranking, while the 24% chance of 6th or higher reflects upside if late-quarter holdovers and holiday titles exceed expectations. Upcoming chart updates and final-quarter tracking will serve as key swing factors for these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$11,549Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Strong summer momentum from Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s record-chasing domestic run and The Odyssey’s sustained performance has anchored trader consensus around a mid-tier finish for 2026.** With the superhero sequel approaching or surpassing the all-time single-film domestic mark near $936 million and contributing to a summer total nearing historical highs, the year has posted consistent weekly grosses that outpace recent post-pandemic benchmarks. Multiple other releases, including Toy Story 5 and additional tentpoles, have added breadth, yet the overall haul remains below the peaks of the strongest prior years. This dynamic supports the 53.5% implied probability on a 10th–12th ranking, while the 24% chance of 6th or higher reflects upside if late-quarter holdovers and holiday titles exceed expectations. Upcoming chart updates and final-quarter tracking will serve as key swing factors for these market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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