Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the May 15–22 window at 100 percent. No verified statements or actions from the White House, Senate, or Powell himself indicate an earlier departure, while the statutory four-year term structure and historical precedent of chairs serving full terms limit alternatives. This pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term risk of resignation, removal, or health-related exit before the scheduled date. Late developments such as an unanticipated presidential decision, Senate pressure, or personal circumstances could still shift timing within the resolution period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 100.0%
Before May 15 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
May 30–June 5 <1%
$303,232 KL.
$303,232 KL.
Before May 15
No
May 15–22
Yes
May 23–29
No
May 30–June 5
No
June 6–12
No
June 13–19
No
June 20–26
No
June 27–July 3
No
After July 3
No
May 15–22 100.0%
Before May 15 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
May 30–June 5 <1%
$303,232 KL.
$303,232 KL.
Before May 15
No
May 15–22
Yes
May 23–29
No
May 30–June 5
No
June 6–12
No
June 13–19
No
June 20–26
No
June 27–July 3
No
After July 3
No
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the May 15–22 window at 100 percent. No verified statements or actions from the White House, Senate, or Powell himself indicate an earlier departure, while the statutory four-year term structure and historical precedent of chairs serving full terms limit alternatives. This pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term risk of resignation, removal, or health-related exit before the scheduled date. Late developments such as an unanticipated presidential decision, Senate pressure, or personal circumstances could still shift timing within the resolution period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp