OpenAI's accelerating release cadence for its frontier large language models positions mid-June as the leading window for GPT-5.6, following GPT-5.5's April 23 rollout and a May 28 update to the GPT-5.5 Instant variant. Backend logs and developer discussions have surfaced early testing signals for the next iteration, consistent with the shortened cycles observed since GPT-5's August 2025 debut. Traders assign the highest implied probability (57.5%) to June 15–21, reflecting expectations of continued rapid iteration ahead of any major developer conference or API expansion. A smaller share (20%) prices in the possibility of delay past June 28, underscoring uncertainty around final safety reviews or capability benchmarks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtJune 15–June 21 64%
Not released by June 28 20%
June 8–June 14 14%
June 22–June 28 7.8%
$61,117 KL.
$61,117 KL.
Jun 28, 2026
June 1–June 7
1%
June 8–June 14
14%
June 15–June 21
57%
June 22–June 28
8%
Not released by June 28
20%
June 15–June 21 64%
Not released by June 28 20%
June 8–June 14 14%
June 22–June 28 7.8%
$61,117 KL.
$61,117 KL.
Jun 28, 2026
June 1–June 7
$12,149 KL.
1%
June 8–June 14
$10,610 KL.
14%
June 15–June 21
$2,611 KL.
57%
June 22–June 28
$2,001 KL.
8%
Not released by June 28
$6,608 KL.
20%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerating release cadence for its frontier large language models positions mid-June as the leading window for GPT-5.6, following GPT-5.5's April 23 rollout and a May 28 update to the GPT-5.5 Instant variant. Backend logs and developer discussions have surfaced early testing signals for the next iteration, consistent with the shortened cycles observed since GPT-5's August 2025 debut. Traders assign the highest implied probability (57.5%) to June 15–21, reflecting expectations of continued rapid iteration ahead of any major developer conference or API expansion. A smaller share (20%) prices in the possibility of delay past June 28, underscoring uncertainty around final safety reviews or capability benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$61,117Ngày kết thúc
Jun 28, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's accelerating release cadence for its frontier large language models positions mid-June as the leading window for GPT-5.6, following GPT-5.5's April 23 rollout and a May 28 update to the GPT-5.5 Instant variant. Backend logs and developer discussions have surfaced early testing signals for the next iteration, consistent with the shortened cycles observed since GPT-5's August 2025 debut. Traders assign the highest implied probability (57.5%) to June 15–21, reflecting expectations of continued rapid iteration ahead of any major developer conference or API expansion. A smaller share (20%) prices in the possibility of delay past June 28, underscoring uncertainty around final safety reviews or capability benchmarks.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's GPT-5.6 model is made available to the general public.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.6, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.5, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc., would qualify toward this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$61,117Ngày kết thúc
Jun 28, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's accelerating release cadence for its frontier large language models positions mid-June as the leading window for GPT-5.6, following GPT-5.5's April 23 rollout and a May 28 update to the GPT-5.5 Instant variant. Backend logs and developer discussions have surfaced early testing signals for the next iteration, consistent with the shortened cycles observed since GPT-5's August 2025 debut. Traders assign the highest implied probability (57.5%) to June 15–21, reflecting expectations of continued rapid iteration ahead of any major developer conference or API expansion. A smaller share (20%) prices in the possibility of delay past June 28, underscoring uncertainty around final safety reviews or capability benchmarks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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