Recent housing data releases show moderating price growth amid persistent supply constraints and mortgage rates near 6.5-6.7%, driving the tight contest between the $419K-$426K and sub-$419K ranges for the September 30 median home value. Existing-home medians peaked near $440K in June before easing modestly, while Zillow Home Value Index readings hovered around $368K-$388K with 1-2% year-over-year gains, reflecting the rate-lock effect limiting inventory turnover. Trader sentiment weighs these fundamentals against potential seasonal adjustments and any late-month revisions in official or index data. Key near-term catalysts include September sales and price reports that could clarify directional momentum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$419K - $426K 47.4%
<$419K 38.0%
$426K - $433K 5.3%
$433K - $440K 1.4%
$86,290 KL.
$86,290 KL.
Sep 29, 2026
<$419K
38%
$419K - $426K
47%
$426K - $433K
5%
$433K - $440K
1%
$440K - $447K
1%
$447K - $454K
<1%
$454K+
<1%
$419K - $426K 47.4%
<$419K 38.0%
$426K - $433K 5.3%
$433K - $440K 1.4%
$86,290 KL.
$86,290 KL.
Sep 29, 2026
<$419K
$26,402 KL.
38%
$419K - $426K
$17,808 KL.
47%
$426K - $433K
$11,584 KL.
5%
$433K - $440K
$17,998 KL.
1%
$440K - $447K
$5,428 KL.
1%
$447K - $454K
$5,368 KL.
<1%
$454K+
$1,701 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Recent housing data releases show moderating price growth amid persistent supply constraints and mortgage rates near 6.5-6.7%, driving the tight contest between the $419K-$426K and sub-$419K ranges for the September 30 median home value. Existing-home medians peaked near $440K in June before easing modestly, while Zillow Home Value Index readings hovered around $368K-$388K with 1-2% year-over-year gains, reflecting the rate-lock effect limiting inventory turnover. Trader sentiment weighs these fundamentals against potential seasonal adjustments and any late-month revisions in official or index data. Key near-term catalysts include September sales and price reports that could clarify directional momentum before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Thị trường mở: Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$86,290Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Recent housing data releases show moderating price growth amid persistent supply constraints and mortgage rates near 6.5-6.7%, driving the tight contest between the $419K-$426K and sub-$419K ranges for the September 30 median home value. Existing-home medians peaked near $440K in June before easing modestly, while Zillow Home Value Index readings hovered around $368K-$388K with 1-2% year-over-year gains, reflecting the rate-lock effect limiting inventory turnover. Trader sentiment weighs these fundamentals against potential seasonal adjustments and any late-month revisions in official or index data. Key near-term catalysts include September sales and price reports that could clarify directional momentum before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Khối lượng
$86,290Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing data releases show moderating price growth amid persistent supply constraints and mortgage rates near 6.5-6.7%, driving the tight contest between the $419K-$426K and sub-$419K ranges for the September 30 median home value. Existing-home medians peaked near $440K in June before easing modestly, while Zillow Home Value Index readings hovered around $368K-$388K with 1-2% year-over-year gains, reflecting the rate-lock effect limiting inventory turnover. Trader sentiment weighs these fundamentals against potential seasonal adjustments and any late-month revisions in official or index data. Key near-term catalysts include September sales and price reports that could clarify directional momentum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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