Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability in the DC Metro area, contributing to the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the $518K–$530K range for end-September median home values. Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $584K reflect modest year-over-year stability amid rising active listings and longer days on market, while federal workforce reductions have introduced downside risks to household formation and price momentum. Increased inventory has shifted some submarkets toward balance, tempering upward pressure despite resilient sales in detached segments, and seasonal patterns typically weigh on activity heading into fall. With resolution imminent, any final August or September data releases on sales volume or rates could sway the narrow gap between the two leading bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$518K - $524K 42.3%
$524K - $530K 31.4%
$512K - $518K 16.1%
$530K - $536K 8.1%
$64,960 KL.
$64,960 KL.
Sep 29, 2026
<$512K
1%
$512K - $518K
16%
$518K - $524K
42%
$524K - $530K
31%
$530K - $536K
8%
$536K - $542K
4%
$542K+
2%
$518K - $524K 42.3%
$524K - $530K 31.4%
$512K - $518K 16.1%
$530K - $536K 8.1%
$64,960 KL.
$64,960 KL.
Sep 29, 2026
<$512K
$1,784 KL.
1%
$512K - $518K
$14,254 KL.
16%
$518K - $524K
$18,147 KL.
42%
$524K - $530K
$6,690 KL.
31%
$530K - $536K
$8,444 KL.
8%
$536K - $542K
$10,051 KL.
4%
$542K+
$5,591 KL.
2%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability in the DC Metro area, contributing to the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the $518K–$530K range for end-September median home values. Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $584K reflect modest year-over-year stability amid rising active listings and longer days on market, while federal workforce reductions have introduced downside risks to household formation and price momentum. Increased inventory has shifted some submarkets toward balance, tempering upward pressure despite resilient sales in detached segments, and seasonal patterns typically weigh on activity heading into fall. With resolution imminent, any final August or September data releases on sales volume or rates could sway the narrow gap between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Thị trường mở: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$64,960Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability in the DC Metro area, contributing to the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the $518K–$530K range for end-September median home values. Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $584K reflect modest year-over-year stability amid rising active listings and longer days on market, while federal workforce reductions have introduced downside risks to household formation and price momentum. Increased inventory has shifted some submarkets toward balance, tempering upward pressure despite resilient sales in detached segments, and seasonal patterns typically weigh on activity heading into fall. With resolution imminent, any final August or September data releases on sales volume or rates could sway the narrow gap between the two leading bins.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/53)
Khối lượng
$64,960Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% continue to constrain buyer demand and affordability in the DC Metro area, contributing to the tight clustering of trader probabilities around the $518K–$530K range for end-September median home values. Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $584K reflect modest year-over-year stability amid rising active listings and longer days on market, while federal workforce reductions have introduced downside risks to household formation and price momentum. Increased inventory has shifted some submarkets toward balance, tempering upward pressure despite resilient sales in detached segments, and seasonal patterns typically weigh on activity heading into fall. With resolution imminent, any final August or September data releases on sales volume or rates could sway the narrow gap between the two leading bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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