Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $822,000 and PropertyShark median sale prices of $907,000 in July 2026 reflect ongoing year-over-year appreciation of 4-5% in the New York City market, driven by chronically low inventory and resilient buyer demand despite elevated mortgage rates. These conditions, combined with higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy and limited new supply, have anchored trader consensus on the $663K-$689K bracket at 78.6% implied probability, as the near-term trajectory points to modest further gains rather than sharp acceleration or reversal before September 30. Limited near-term catalysts, including seasonal slowdowns and persistent affordability constraints, reinforce the narrow trading range around current levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$663K - $689K 77.5%
$636K - $663K 15.0%
$689K+ 7.5%
$609K - $636K 1.1%
$73,438 KL.
$73,438 KL.
Sep 29, 2026
<$555K
1%
$555K - $582K
1%
$582K - $609K
1%
$609K - $636K
1%
$636K - $663K
15%
$663K - $689K
78%
$689K+
8%
$663K - $689K 77.5%
$636K - $663K 15.0%
$689K+ 7.5%
$609K - $636K 1.1%
$73,438 KL.
$73,438 KL.
Sep 29, 2026
<$555K
$1,420 KL.
1%
$555K - $582K
$2,839 KL.
1%
$582K - $609K
$1,360 KL.
1%
$609K - $636K
$9,523 KL.
1%
$636K - $663K
$37,319 KL.
15%
$663K - $689K
$12,165 KL.
78%
$689K+
$8,812 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $822,000 and PropertyShark median sale prices of $907,000 in July 2026 reflect ongoing year-over-year appreciation of 4-5% in the New York City market, driven by chronically low inventory and resilient buyer demand despite elevated mortgage rates. These conditions, combined with higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy and limited new supply, have anchored trader consensus on the $663K-$689K bracket at 78.6% implied probability, as the near-term trajectory points to modest further gains rather than sharp acceleration or reversal before September 30. Limited near-term catalysts, including seasonal slowdowns and persistent affordability constraints, reinforce the narrow trading range around current levels.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Thị trường mở: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$73,438Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $822,000 and PropertyShark median sale prices of $907,000 in July 2026 reflect ongoing year-over-year appreciation of 4-5% in the New York City market, driven by chronically low inventory and resilient buyer demand despite elevated mortgage rates. These conditions, combined with higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy and limited new supply, have anchored trader consensus on the $663K-$689K bracket at 78.6% implied probability, as the near-term trajectory points to modest further gains rather than sharp acceleration or reversal before September 30. Limited near-term catalysts, including seasonal slowdowns and persistent affordability constraints, reinforce the narrow trading range around current levels.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/50)
Khối lượng
$73,438Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent Zillow Home Value Index readings near $822,000 and PropertyShark median sale prices of $907,000 in July 2026 reflect ongoing year-over-year appreciation of 4-5% in the New York City market, driven by chronically low inventory and resilient buyer demand despite elevated mortgage rates. These conditions, combined with higher-for-longer Federal Reserve policy and limited new supply, have anchored trader consensus on the $663K-$689K bracket at 78.6% implied probability, as the near-term trajectory points to modest further gains rather than sharp acceleration or reversal before September 30. Limited near-term catalysts, including seasonal slowdowns and persistent affordability constraints, reinforce the narrow trading range around current levels.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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