OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential IPO filing, alongside a March private round at $852 billion, anchors trader expectations for a debut valuation clustered between $1 trillion and $1.75 trillion. Revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs supports premium multiples, yet elevated compute costs, margin pressure, and Microsoft revenue-sharing terms introduce downside risk that keeps probabilities tightly distributed across the $1.25T–$1.5T and $1.5T–$1.75T buckets. Comparable AI listings and broader equity-market sentiment around technology valuations will determine final pricing, with any delay into 2027 or stronger quarterly results capable of shifting implied odds within the current range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1.25T–$1.5T 27.2%
$1.5T–$1.75T 22.7%
$1.75T–$2.0T 12%
$2.25T–$2.5T 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 1, 2027
<$1T
5%
$1.0T–$1.25T
9%
$1.25T–$1.5T
27%
$1.5T–$1.75T
23%
$1.75T–$2.0T
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
8%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
3%
$1.25T–$1.5T 27.2%
$1.5T–$1.75T 22.7%
$1.75T–$2.0T 12%
$2.25T–$2.5T 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 1, 2027
<$1T
$771 KL.
5%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$129 KL.
9%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$529 KL.
27%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$329 KL.
23%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$2,025 KL.
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$549 KL.
8%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$134 KL.
11%
$2.5T+
$1,563 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential IPO filing, alongside a March private round at $852 billion, anchors trader expectations for a debut valuation clustered between $1 trillion and $1.75 trillion. Revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs supports premium multiples, yet elevated compute costs, margin pressure, and Microsoft revenue-sharing terms introduce downside risk that keeps probabilities tightly distributed across the $1.25T–$1.5T and $1.5T–$1.75T buckets. Comparable AI listings and broader equity-market sentiment around technology valuations will determine final pricing, with any delay into 2027 or stronger quarterly results capable of shifting implied odds within the current range.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,028Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential IPO filing, alongside a March private round at $852 billion, anchors trader expectations for a debut valuation clustered between $1 trillion and $1.75 trillion. Revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs supports premium multiples, yet elevated compute costs, margin pressure, and Microsoft revenue-sharing terms introduce downside risk that keeps probabilities tightly distributed across the $1.25T–$1.5T and $1.5T–$1.75T buckets. Comparable AI listings and broader equity-market sentiment around technology valuations will determine final pricing, with any delay into 2027 or stronger quarterly results capable of shifting implied odds within the current range.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$6,028Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s June 2026 confidential IPO filing, alongside a March private round at $852 billion, anchors trader expectations for a debut valuation clustered between $1 trillion and $1.75 trillion. Revenue growth from ChatGPT subscriptions and enterprise APIs supports premium multiples, yet elevated compute costs, margin pressure, and Microsoft revenue-sharing terms introduce downside risk that keeps probabilities tightly distributed across the $1.25T–$1.5T and $1.5T–$1.75T buckets. Comparable AI listings and broader equity-market sentiment around technology valuations will determine final pricing, with any delay into 2027 or stronger quarterly results capable of shifting implied odds within the current range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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