Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Court-ordered redistricting preserved the district's conservative character, consistent with Donald Trump's 32-point margin in the most recent presidential contest there, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination at the April 2026 convention as the sitting representative with established name recognition, while Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen confronts structural headwinds in a district Republicans have held by wide margins in recent cycles. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or turnout anomaly that overrides the underlying partisan and historical patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
$15,038 KL.
$15,038 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$15,038 KL.
$15,038 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,489 KL.
91%
Democratic Party
$9,549 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Court-ordered redistricting preserved the district's conservative character, consistent with Donald Trump's 32-point margin in the most recent presidential contest there, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination at the April 2026 convention as the sitting representative with established name recognition, while Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen confronts structural headwinds in a district Republicans have held by wide margins in recent cycles. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or turnout anomaly that overrides the underlying partisan and historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$15,038Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Court-ordered redistricting preserved the district's conservative character, consistent with Donald Trump's 32-point margin in the most recent presidential contest there, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination at the April 2026 convention as the sitting representative with established name recognition, while Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen confronts structural headwinds in a district Republicans have held by wide margins in recent cycles. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or turnout anomaly that overrides the underlying partisan and historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$15,038Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Court-ordered redistricting preserved the district's conservative character, consistent with Donald Trump's 32-point margin in the most recent presidential contest there, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Mike Kennedy secured the Republican nomination at the April 2026 convention as the sitting representative with established name recognition, while Democratic nominee Jonny Larsen confronts structural headwinds in a district Republicans have held by wide margins in recent cycles. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or turnout anomaly that overrides the underlying partisan and historical patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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