Andy Burnham, who became prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation, holds the sole power to request a snap general election under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act. The next vote must occur no later than August 2029, yet recent polling volatility and an October 8 by-election in Holborn and St Pancras have fueled speculation that Burnham could call one earlier to capitalize on Labour’s recovery and divisions among Reform and Conservatives. Traders weigh the prime minister’s repeated denials against Westminster chatter that strong Labour performance in the by-election could prompt a pre-Christmas or spring 2027 contest, while weak results or economic pressures might push toward the full term. Upcoming local tests and party conferences add near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities on early call dates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCuộc bầu cử ở Vương quốc Anh được kêu gọi bởi...?
Cuộc bầu cử ở Vương quốc Anh được kêu gọi bởi...?
$824,959 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
11%
June 30, 2027
26%
$824,959 KL.
December 31, 2026
$28,243 KL.
11%
June 30, 2027
$5,568 KL.
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Andy Burnham, who became prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation, holds the sole power to request a snap general election under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act. The next vote must occur no later than August 2029, yet recent polling volatility and an October 8 by-election in Holborn and St Pancras have fueled speculation that Burnham could call one earlier to capitalize on Labour’s recovery and divisions among Reform and Conservatives. Traders weigh the prime minister’s repeated denials against Westminster chatter that strong Labour performance in the by-election could prompt a pre-Christmas or spring 2027 contest, while weak results or economic pressures might push toward the full term. Upcoming local tests and party conferences add near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities on early call dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Khối lượng
$824,959Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Andy Burnham, who became prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation, holds the sole power to request a snap general election under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act. The next vote must occur no later than August 2029, yet recent polling volatility and an October 8 by-election in Holborn and St Pancras have fueled speculation that Burnham could call one earlier to capitalize on Labour’s recovery and divisions among Reform and Conservatives. Traders weigh the prime minister’s repeated denials against Westminster chatter that strong Labour performance in the by-election could prompt a pre-Christmas or spring 2027 contest, while weak results or economic pressures might push toward the full term. Upcoming local tests and party conferences add near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities on early call dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$824,959Ngày kết thúc
Jul 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 25, 2026, 11:34 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Andy Burnham, who became prime minister in July 2026 after Keir Starmer’s resignation, holds the sole power to request a snap general election under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act. The next vote must occur no later than August 2029, yet recent polling volatility and an October 8 by-election in Holborn and St Pancras have fueled speculation that Burnham could call one earlier to capitalize on Labour’s recovery and divisions among Reform and Conservatives. Traders weigh the prime minister’s repeated denials against Westminster chatter that strong Labour performance in the by-election could prompt a pre-Christmas or spring 2027 contest, while weak results or economic pressures might push toward the full term. Upcoming local tests and party conferences add near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities on early call dates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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