Texas's 20th Congressional District, covering western San Antonio in Bexar County, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Joaquin Castro secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 88 percent of the vote, while Republican Edgardo Baez advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election. Shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, Castro's withdrawal, or a national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district's structural lean.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-20 House Election Winner
TX-20 House Election Winner
$10,988 KL.
$10,988 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$10,988 KL.
$10,988 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,001 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$1,987 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 20th Congressional District, covering western San Antonio in Bexar County, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Joaquin Castro secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 88 percent of the vote, while Republican Edgardo Baez advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election. Shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, Castro's withdrawal, or a national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district's structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,988Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 20th Congressional District, covering western San Antonio in Bexar County, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Joaquin Castro secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 88 percent of the vote, while Republican Edgardo Baez advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election. Shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, Castro's withdrawal, or a national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district's structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$10,988Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 20th Congressional District, covering western San Antonio in Bexar County, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Joaquin Castro secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with 88 percent of the vote, while Republican Edgardo Baez advanced unopposed. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting consistent historical margins and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November general election. Shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, Castro's withdrawal, or a national political realignment strong enough to overcome the district's structural lean.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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