Redistricting in Texas has transformed the 9th congressional district from a longtime Democratic stronghold into a solidly Republican seat, prompting incumbent Al Green to seek election in the neighboring 18th district instead. In the March 2026 Democratic primary, Leticia Gutierrez secured the nomination, while Republicans advanced to a May 26 runoff between state Representative Briscoe Cain and Alex Mealer. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s new partisan voting index and voter demographics. These structural changes and candidate developments underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTX-09 House Election Winner
TX-09 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
21%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$2,099 KL.
83%
Democratic Party
$2,079 KL.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in Texas has transformed the 9th congressional district from a longtime Democratic stronghold into a solidly Republican seat, prompting incumbent Al Green to seek election in the neighboring 18th district instead. In the March 2026 Democratic primary, Leticia Gutierrez secured the nomination, while Republicans advanced to a May 26 runoff between state Representative Briscoe Cain and Alex Mealer. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s new partisan voting index and voter demographics. These structural changes and candidate developments underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,178Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in Texas has transformed the 9th congressional district from a longtime Democratic stronghold into a solidly Republican seat, prompting incumbent Al Green to seek election in the neighboring 18th district instead. In the March 2026 Democratic primary, Leticia Gutierrez secured the nomination, while Republicans advanced to a May 26 runoff between state Representative Briscoe Cain and Alex Mealer. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s new partisan voting index and voter demographics. These structural changes and candidate developments underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$4,178Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting in Texas has transformed the 9th congressional district from a longtime Democratic stronghold into a solidly Republican seat, prompting incumbent Al Green to seek election in the neighboring 18th district instead. In the March 2026 Democratic primary, Leticia Gutierrez secured the nomination, while Republicans advanced to a May 26 runoff between state Representative Briscoe Cain and Alex Mealer. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report and others classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s new partisan voting index and voter demographics. These structural changes and candidate developments underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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