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Chính Trị·U.S. Politics

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

Market icon
Chính Trị·U.S. Politics

Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?

$19,919,327 KL.

Apr 29, 2025
Polymarket

$19,919,327 KL.

Polymarket
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days? icon

Sam Bankman-Fried

$2,009,458 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days? icon

Eric Adams

$993,621 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? icon

Steve Bannon

$805,284 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days? icon

Roger Ver

$1,466,254 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days? icon

Julian Assange

$564,823 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days? icon

Himself

$1,087,167 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days? icon

January 6 protestor

$756,779 KL.

Yes

Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? icon

Ross Ulbricht

$6,087,387 KL.

Yes

Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days? icon

Diddy

$1,401,581 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days? icon

Elon Musk

$568,855 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden in his first 100 days? icon

Hunter Biden

$1,312,596 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Young Thug in his first 100 days? icon

Young Thug

$115,127 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? icon

Edward Snowden

$1,889,164 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in his first 100 days? icon

Matt Gaetz

$236,254 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days? icon

Daniel Penny

$67,404 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days? icon

Rudy Giuliani

$199,945 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in his first 100 days? icon

Roger Stone

$32,880 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in his first 100 days? icon

Bob Menendez

$66,747 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Rod Blagojevich in his first 100 days? icon

Rod Blagojevich

$270 KL.

Yes

Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic in his first 100 days? icon

Joe Exotic "The Tiger King"

$19,793 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in his first 100 days? icon

Derek Chauvin

$133,067 KL.

No

Will Trump pardon CZ in his first 100 days? icon

CZ

$104,870 KL.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Sam Bankman-Fried is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Eric Adams is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Bannon receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Steve Bannon is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Ver receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Roger Ver is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julian Assange receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Julian Assange is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Donald Trump is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any protestor involved in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump, specifically related to their actions on that date, by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether any protestor involved in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if creator of Silk Road, Ross William Ulbricht, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Ulbricht is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean John Combs (Diddy), receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Combs is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Elon Musk is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Hunter Biden is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeffery Lamar Williams Jr., aka Young Thug, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Young Thug is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Edward Snowden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Edward Snowden is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Matt Gaetz receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Matt Gaetz is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Penny receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Daniel Penny is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rudy Giuliani receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Rudy Giuliani is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Stone receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Roger Stone is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bob Menendez receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Menendez is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rod Blagojevich receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Rod Blagojevich is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joseph Allen Maldonado receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Joseph Allen Maldonado is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Derek Chauvin receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Joseph Allen Maldonado is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Changpeng Zhao receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Changpeng Zhao is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether Sam Bankman-Fried is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$19,919,327
Ngày kết thúc
Apr 29, 2025
Thị trường mở
Nov 6, 2024, 11:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Sam Bankman-Fried is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Kết quả đề xuất: No

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Sam Bankman-Fried is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Eric Adams is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Steve Bannon receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Steve Bannon is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Ver receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Roger Ver is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julian Assange receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Julian Assange is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Donald Trump is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any protestor involved in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump, specifically related to their actions on that date, by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether any protestor involved in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if creator of Silk Road, Ross William Ulbricht, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Ulbricht is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean John Combs (Diddy), receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Combs is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Elon Musk is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hunter Biden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Hunter Biden is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeffery Lamar Williams Jr., aka Young Thug, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Young Thug is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Edward Snowden receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Edward Snowden is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Matt Gaetz receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Matt Gaetz is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Daniel Penny receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Daniel Penny is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rudy Giuliani receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Rudy Giuliani is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roger Stone receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Roger Stone is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bob Menendez receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Menendez is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rod Blagojevich receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Rod Blagojevich is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joseph Allen Maldonado receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Joseph Allen Maldonado is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Derek Chauvin receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Joseph Allen Maldonado is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Changpeng Zhao receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Changpeng Zhao is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether Sam Bankman-Fried is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$19,919,327
Ngày kết thúc
Apr 29, 2025
Thị trường mở
Nov 6, 2024, 11:19 AM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Bankman-Fried, receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by April 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether Sam Bankman-Fried is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Kết quả đề xuất: No

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: No

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 22 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "January 6 protestor" ở mức 100%, tiếp theo là "Ross Ulbricht" ở mức 100%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 100¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?" đã tạo $19.9 million tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Nov 6, 2024. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?," duyệt 22 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?" là "January 6 protestor" ở mức 100%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Ross Ulbricht" ở mức 100%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Who will Trump pardon in first 100 days?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.