Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật38.0–38.4 100.0%
37.0–37.4 1.8%
<37.0 <1%
37.5–37.9 <1%
$6,278 KL.
$6,278 KL.
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
No
37.0–37.4
No
37.5–37.9
No
38.0–38.4
Yes
38.5–38.9
No
39.0+
No
38.0–38.4 100.0%
37.0–37.4 1.8%
<37.0 <1%
37.5–37.9 <1%
$6,278 KL.
$6,278 KL.
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
$1,152 KL.
No
37.0–37.4
$674 KL.
No
37.5–37.9
$888 KL.
No
38.0–38.4
$1,234 KL.
Yes
38.5–38.9
$1,261 KL.
No
39.0+
$1,070 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,278Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$6,278Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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