Traders see a fragmented race for third place on the Text Arena math leaderboard by end of October, with no lab holding a decisive edge amid rapid model iterations. Anthropic currently dominates the top math Elo scores with its Claude family, but Google's Gemini variants sit close behind in fourth and several lower spots, while Z.ai's GLM-5.3-max has posted competitive results that keep it in contention. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series trails further back, and a cluster of labs including Alibaba's Qwen, Moonshot's Kimi, and others show narrow gaps that could shift with new releases or voting surges. This uncertainty stems from fast-moving capability gains in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where small Elo changes or fresh deployments often reorder positions quickly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Google 45%
Z.ai 37.4%
OpenAI 10%
Alibaba 8%
$38,627 KL.
$38,627 KL.

45%

Z.ai
37%

OpenAI
10%

Alibaba
8%

Moonshot
1%

Baidu
1%

Meituan
1%

Anthropic
1%

Nvidia
1%

Meta
1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Tencent
<1%

Bytedance
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Google 45%
Z.ai 37.4%
OpenAI 10%
Alibaba 8%
$38,627 KL.
$38,627 KL.

45%

Z.ai
37%

OpenAI
10%

Alibaba
8%

Moonshot
1%

Baidu
1%

Meituan
1%

Anthropic
1%

Nvidia
1%

Meta
1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

Tencent
<1%

Bytedance
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a fragmented race for third place on the Text Arena math leaderboard by end of October, with no lab holding a decisive edge amid rapid model iterations. Anthropic currently dominates the top math Elo scores with its Claude family, but Google's Gemini variants sit close behind in fourth and several lower spots, while Z.ai's GLM-5.3-max has posted competitive results that keep it in contention. OpenAI's GPT-5.5 series trails further back, and a cluster of labs including Alibaba's Qwen, Moonshot's Kimi, and others show narrow gaps that could shift with new releases or voting surges. This uncertainty stems from fast-moving capability gains in mathematical reasoning benchmarks, where small Elo changes or fresh deployments often reorder positions quickly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp