Spider-Man: Brand New Day opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31 and has already reached roughly $786 million after three weeks, fueled by exceptional word-of-mouth, premium-format strength, and minimal summer competition. With two more weekends plus daily play through August 31, traders see the film adding $100–200 million more, positioning the 800–900 million bracket as the clear frontrunner at 61.5% implied probability while still leaving room for a push past 900 million. Strong legs, continued PLF demand, and Sony’s marketing push support momentum toward the higher end of current ranges, though rapid drop-offs typical of superhero tentpoles could cap the final total below that threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
800 - 900m 61%
900m+ 38.6%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$1,361,344 KL.
$1,361,344 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
<1%
400 - 500m
<1%
500 - 600m
<1%
600 - 700m
<1%
700 - 800m
<1%
800 - 900m
61%
900m+
39%
800 - 900m 61%
900m+ 38.6%
<400m <1%
400 - 500m <1%
$1,361,344 KL.
$1,361,344 KL.
Aug 31, 2026
<400m
$17,558 KL.
<1%
400 - 500m
$32,353 KL.
<1%
500 - 600m
$28,172 KL.
<1%
600 - 700m
$42,942 KL.
<1%
700 - 800m
$125,967 KL.
<1%
800 - 900m
$313,177 KL.
61%
900m+
$801,175 KL.
39%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31 and has already reached roughly $786 million after three weeks, fueled by exceptional word-of-mouth, premium-format strength, and minimal summer competition. With two more weekends plus daily play through August 31, traders see the film adding $100–200 million more, positioning the 800–900 million bracket as the clear frontrunner at 61.5% implied probability while still leaving room for a push past 900 million. Strong legs, continued PLF demand, and Sony’s marketing push support momentum toward the higher end of current ranges, though rapid drop-offs typical of superhero tentpoles could cap the final total below that threshold.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Thị trường mở: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,361,344Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31 and has already reached roughly $786 million after three weeks, fueled by exceptional word-of-mouth, premium-format strength, and minimal summer competition. With two more weekends plus daily play through August 31, traders see the film adding $100–200 million more, positioning the 800–900 million bracket as the clear frontrunner at 61.5% implied probability while still leaving room for a push past 900 million. Strong legs, continued PLF demand, and Sony’s marketing push support momentum toward the higher end of current ranges, though rapid drop-offs typical of superhero tentpoles could cap the final total below that threshold.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by August 31, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and August 31, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Khối lượng
$1,361,344Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day opened to a record $360 million domestically on July 31 and has already reached roughly $786 million after three weeks, fueled by exceptional word-of-mouth, premium-format strength, and minimal summer competition. With two more weekends plus daily play through August 31, traders see the film adding $100–200 million more, positioning the 800–900 million bracket as the clear frontrunner at 61.5% implied probability while still leaving room for a push past 900 million. Strong legs, continued PLF demand, and Sony’s marketing push support momentum toward the higher end of current ranges, though rapid drop-offs typical of superhero tentpoles could cap the final total below that threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp