Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 96.9% for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all required critical disruptions occurring across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While AWS experienced "disrupted" severity outages in Middle East regions from drone strikes starting March 1—impacting services like EC2 and S3—Discord's incidents (e.g., March 25 voice connectivity failures) and Cloudflare's elevated errors remained below Critical (red) thresholds per their status pages. No retroactive upgrades have materialized, solidifying the parlay's failure. Realistic risks include rare post-resolution revisions to incident classifications or oracle disputes, though official dashboards confirm stability elsewhere, underscoring cloud providers' resilience amid geopolitical pressures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$14,049 KL.
$14,049 KL.
Mar 31, 2026
$14,049 KL.
$14,049 KL.
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 96.9% for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all required critical disruptions occurring across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While AWS experienced "disrupted" severity outages in Middle East regions from drone strikes starting March 1—impacting services like EC2 and S3—Discord's incidents (e.g., March 25 voice connectivity failures) and Cloudflare's elevated errors remained below Critical (red) thresholds per their status pages. No retroactive upgrades have materialized, solidifying the parlay's failure. Realistic risks include rare post-resolution revisions to incident classifications or oracle disputes, though official dashboards confirm stability elsewhere, underscoring cloud providers' resilience amid geopolitical pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Thị trường mở: Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$14,049Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 96.9% for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all required critical disruptions occurring across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While AWS experienced "disrupted" severity outages in Middle East regions from drone strikes starting March 1—impacting services like EC2 and S3—Discord's incidents (e.g., March 25 voice connectivity failures) and Cloudflare's elevated errors remained below Critical (red) thresholds per their status pages. No retroactive upgrades have materialized, solidifying the parlay's failure. Realistic risks include rare post-resolution revisions to incident classifications or oracle disputes, though official dashboards confirm stability elsewhere, underscoring cloud providers' resilience amid geopolitical pressures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
- AWS service disrupted
- Critical Discord Incident
- Critical Cloudflare incident
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Services+Down+Parlay.pdf
Khối lượng
$14,049Ngày kết thúc
Mar 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 11, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Services Down Parlay market reflects near-certainty at 96.9% for "No," driven by the March 31, 2026, deadline passing without all required critical disruptions occurring across AWS, Discord, and Cloudflare. While AWS experienced "disrupted" severity outages in Middle East regions from drone strikes starting March 1—impacting services like EC2 and S3—Discord's incidents (e.g., March 25 voice connectivity failures) and Cloudflare's elevated errors remained below Critical (red) thresholds per their status pages. No retroactive upgrades have materialized, solidifying the parlay's failure. Realistic risks include rare post-resolution revisions to incident classifications or oracle disputes, though official dashboards confirm stability elsewhere, underscoring cloud providers' resilience amid geopolitical pressures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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